Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
The bookmakers' favourite won 24 of 34 matches.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Algeria were the bookmakers' 73% favourites and drew 2–2.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Madagascar were the bookmakers' 40% favourites and drew 1–1.
Upset: Finland were the bookmakers' 61% favourites and drew 0–0.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Faroe Islands were the bookmakers' 36% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Cape Verde Islands were the bookmakers' 65% favourites and lost 1–2.
Upset: Ghana were the bookmakers' 67% favourites and lost 2–4.
Upset: Nigeria were the bookmakers' 61% favourites and lost 0–3.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Bulgaria were the bookmakers' 55% favourites and drew 0–0.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Cameroon were the bookmakers' 57% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Our model's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Our model's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Mexico were the bookmakers' 61% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our model's call: wrong
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 369, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 67% of 242, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 53% of 30, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (17).