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Match analysis · UEFA Nations League

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Slovenia 2-0 FYR Macedonia: Match Analysis & Model Review

Slovenia 2-0 FYR Macedonia in the UEFA Nations League, Tuesday, September 29: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 29, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

A 2-0 win for Slovenia over FYR Macedonia in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday, September 29, with Slovenia and FYR Macedonia level at 0-0 at half-time before the match finished 2-0. The scoreline reflected a game in which Slovenia registered two goals and FYR Macedonia no goals.

How it unfolded

The sides reached the interval at 0-0, so the contest remained goalless at the break. Slovenia went on to score two goals, while FYR Macedonia finished with no goals; the result was a 2-0 win for Slovenia over FYR Macedonia. The available match details do not give goal timings, so the sequence of the scoring cannot be set out more precisely.

The numbers

Slovenia recorded 13 shots, with 3 on target. FYR Macedonia had 2 shots and 0 on target. The figures show that Slovenia produced the more sustained attacking output, while FYR Macedonia did not turn its attempts into a shot on target. That difference gives useful context to a match that had been level at the interval and ended with Slovenia scoring two goals.

Possession was 55% for Slovenia and 45% for FYR Macedonia. The corner count stood at 6 for Slovenia and 1 for FYR Macedonia, another indication of the sides' differing attacking involvement. The save figures were 0 for Slovenia and 2 for FYR Macedonia. Across the match, there were two goals; the statistics describe a result built around Slovenia's scoring and FYR Macedonia's failure to find a goal.

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Standout performers

Slovenia's best-rated player was S. Lovrić, whose rating was 8.1; the recorded contribution alongside that rating was 1 goal. That gives Slovenia a clear individual highlight within a collective performance that produced the match's goals.

For FYR Macedonia, the best-rated player was Anes Meljichi, with a rating of 7.0. The rating identifies the standout in FYR Macedonia's match figures, even as the team ended without a goal.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, the model gave Slovenia a 54.8% chance of winning, put the draw at 25.8%, and assigned FYR Macedonia a 19.4% chance of victory. These probabilities are estimates. Slovenia to win was its most likely outcome, with the model giving that result 54.8%; the model's most likely outcome happened.

The final score, 2-0, was the model's 3rd-likeliest score. The model therefore identified the match's eventual winning side as its likeliest outcome, while the exact score sat at the stated position in its score forecast. The pre-match view and the result point in the same direction: Slovenia won as the model had most expected, and the scoreline registered as a less likely exact-score call.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Nations League

Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia

Tue, Sep 29 · 2:45 PM ET · Stožice Stadium

Full time

2–0

Half-time 0–0

The model before the game

Slovenia
54.8%
Draw
25.8%
FYR Macedonia
19.4%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

SloveniaStatisticFYR Macedonia
0saves2
13shots2
6corners1
55%possession45%
3shots on target0
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