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GOALORITHM / FTB

Match analysis · Friendlies

Research workspace

Russia 2-0 Iran: Match Analysis & Model Review

Russia 2-0 Iran in a friendly, Tuesday, September 29: how the goals came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 29, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

A 2-0 win for Russia over Iran in a friendly on Tuesday, September 29, with the decisive work done before half-time. The interval score was 2-0, and the score remained 2-0 at full-time. Only Russia ever led.

Russia finished with two goals and Iran with no goals, leaving two goals in all. Russia held a two-goal lead at 2-0; Iran never led. The scoreline was built around A. Golovin, who supplied both of Russia’s goals.

How it unfolded

A. Golovin opened the scoring for Russia in the 21st minute, putting the side 1-0 ahead. The same scorer struck in the 36th minute, making it 2-0 and completing a brace.

That second goal established the biggest advantage of the match, with Russia holding a two-goal lead at 2-0. The score remained 2-0, and Iran did not find a reply.

The numbers

Russia had 73% possession to Iran’s 27%, a clear difference in how much of the ball each side had. That control did not produce a high volume of attempts: Russia recorded 4 shots and Iran 3. On target, the figures were 2 for Russia and 1 for Iran, so Russia had the greater share of possession and a modest advantage in attempts that tested the goalkeeper.

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Matches
Predictions
My Picks

The corner count was level at 1 apiece. Russia made 1 save, while Iran made 0. The figures show possession heavily tilted toward Russia, while the most decisive difference on the scoreboard came from the same scorer finding the net twice.

Standout performers

Aleksandr Golovin was Russia’s best-rated player, receiving 8.5 with 2 goals. His goals were the defining events of the contest: the opener gave Russia the lead, and his second extended it before the break.

Ali Nemati was Iran’s best-rated player, with 6.5. Iran’s attacking return was 3 attempts and 1 on target, without a goal.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, Goalorithm’s model assigned Russia a 49.5% chance of winning, put the draw at 24%, and gave Iran a 26.5% chance. These probabilities are estimates. The model’s most likely outcome was Russia to win, assigning that outcome 49.5%; the model's most likely outcome happened.

The result matched the model’s pre-match call. A. Golovin’s brace supplied the scoring difference, while the possession figures show Russia had the larger share of the ball.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Friendlies

Russia vs Iran

Tue, Sep 29 · 12:00 PM ET · Kazan Arena

Full time

2–0

Half-time 2–0

  • 21'A. Golovin1–0
  • 36'A. Golovin2–0

The model before the game

Russia
49.5%
Draw
24%
Iran
26.5%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

RussiaStatisticIran
1saves0
4shots3
1corners1
73%possession27%
2shots on target1
Open the Match Center

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