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GOALORITHM / FTB

Match analysis · UEFA Nations League

Research workspace

Finland 0-0 Belarus: Match Analysis & Model Review

Finland 0-0 Belarus in the UEFA Nations League, Tuesday, September 29: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 29, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Finland and Belarus finished a 0-0 draw in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday, September 29, after a first half that also ended 0-0. Finland recorded the shots and corners listed in the match data, but neither side scored.

The figures point to a match in which Finland had more of the ball and produced the attempts on target, while Belarus did not register a shot. That activity did not translate into a goal, and the score remained level at the end.

The numbers

Finland had 6 shots, including 2 on target; Belarus had 0 shots and 0 on target. The shot totals show the difference in recorded attacking output, while the on-target figures confirm that Finland was the only side to test the opposition with a shot on target.

Possession was 64% for Finland and 36% for Belarus. Finland also won 7 corners, compared with 0 for Belarus. Those figures describe a match where the ball and the corner opportunities were concentrated with Finland, but the final score did not reflect that numerical edge in those measures.

The save totals were 0 for Finland and 2 for Belarus. They are team figures and do not identify which players made the saves. With no goals for Finland and no goals for Belarus, the match finished with no goals overall.

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Standout performers

A. Marhiev was Finland’s best-rated player, receiving 7.2. Z. Volkov led the ratings for Belarus, with 7.2. The top ratings were equal, even as the teams’ shot totals and possession figures differed.

How the model called it

Goalorithm’s pre-match probabilities are estimates. The model gave Finland a win probability of 49.3%, a draw probability of 29.1% and Belarus a win probability of 21.6%. Its most likely outcome was Finland to win; it gave the actual result 29.1%, and the result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The final score 0-0 was the model's 2nd-likeliest score. The match therefore ended with the outcome the model had assigned a probability to, but not the outcome it had identified as most likely. The figures from the game describe Finland’s greater share of possession and attacking activity; the model’s pre-match call, however, centred on a Finland win.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Nations League

Finland vs Belarus

Tue, Sep 29 · 12:00 PM ET · Helsinki Olympic Stadium

Full time

0–0

Half-time 0–0

The model before the game

Finland
49.3%
Draw
29.1%
Belarus
21.6%

The result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The numbers

FinlandStatisticBelarus
0saves2
6shots0
7corners0
64%possession36%
2shots on target0
Open the Match Center

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