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Match analysis · CONCACAF Nations League

Research workspace

French Guyana 1-0 Sint Maarten: Match Analysis & Model Review

French Guyana 1-0 Sint Maarten in the CONCACAF Nations League, Tuesday, September 29: how the goal came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 29, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

French Guyana won 1-0 against Sint Maarten in the CONCACAF Nations League on Tuesday, September 29, with a 1-0 win for French Guyana over Sint Maarten. The teams went into the break at 0-0, and the decisive moment came in the 90th minute (+5), when Jules Haabo scored for French Guyana. It was a late breakthrough in a match whose final score contained one goal.

How it unfolded

The first half ended 0-0, leaving the match without a goal at the interval. French Guyana scored in the 90th minute (+5): Jules Haabo found the net to make it 1-0. Only French Guyana ever led, and that goal settled the result.

The numbers

The shot count was 12 for French Guyana and 10 for Sint Maarten. Shots on target numbered 5 for French Guyana and 3 for Sint Maarten, giving a further measure of the attempts that tested the goalkeepers. Possession was recorded at 46% for French Guyana and 54% for Sint Maarten, while the corner count was 3 for French Guyana and 3 for Sint Maarten.

The saves figures were 3 for French Guyana and 4 for Sint Maarten. The final goal return was one goal for French Guyana and no goals for Sint Maarten, making one goal across the match. Those figures describe a game in which the decisive difference was a goal arriving late, rather than a scoreline built through several goals. The teams’ possession, attempts, corners and saves each offer a separate view of the contest; the result itself was settled by the finish from Haabo.

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Standout performers

Y. Salmier was French Guyana’s best-rated player, with a rating of 7.9. Imar kort received Sint Maarten’s best rating, 7.9. The ratings identify one standout for each side, while Haabo’s late goal supplied the match’s decisive score.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, Goalorithm’s estimates gave French Guyana a 72.7% chance of winning, a draw 14.5%, and a Sint Maarten win 12.8%. The model’s most likely outcome was French Guyana to win; it assigned the eventual result 72.7%. The model's most likely outcome happened, and the final score was the model's 1st-likeliest score. The forecast and the match result therefore point to the same outcome, with Haabo’s late finish providing the goal that delivered it.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

CONCACAF Nations League

French Guyana vs Sint Maarten

Tue, Sep 29 · 5:00 PM ET · FFB Stadium

Full time

1–0

Half-time 0–0

  • 90'+5Jules Haabo1–0

The model before the game

French Guyana
72.7%
Draw
14.5%
Sint Maarten
12.8%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

French GuyanaStatisticSint Maarten
3saves4
12shots10
3corners3
46%possession54%
5shots on target3
Open the Match Center

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