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Match analysis · UEFA Nations League

Research workspace

San Marino 0-3 Albania: Match Analysis & Model Review

San Marino 0-3 Albania in the UEFA Nations League, Tuesday, September 29: how the goals came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 29, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

A 3-0 win for Albania over San Marino in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday, September 29, with San Marino unable to find a goal. Albania had established its advantage by the interval, then added to it after the break; only Albania ever led.

The score at half-time was 0-2. Anis·Mehmeti, Myrto Uzuni and Rey Manaj supplied the goals for Albania, whose attack finished the match with three goals. The final score was 0-3, and San Marino finished with no goals.

How it unfolded

Anis·Mehmeti put Albania ahead in the 21st minute, making it 0-1. The opening goal gave Albania the lead, and only Albania ever led.

Myrto Uzuni scored for Albania in the 27th minute, extending the margin to 0-2 before half-time. The interval score was 0-2, with San Marino still seeking a way onto the scoresheet.

The final goal arrived in the 65th minute, when Rey Manaj scored for Albania to make it 0-3. Albania held a three-goal lead at 0-3; San Marino did not score.

The numbers

The shot count was 5 for San Marino and 13 for Albania, with efforts on target at 1 and 8 respectively. Possession stood at 26% for San Marino and 74% for Albania.

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Matches
Predictions
My Picks

The corner count was 5 for San Marino and 4 for Albania. San Marino made 5 saves, compared with 1 for Albania. The scoring split was no goals for San Marino and three goals for Albania, with three goals in all.

Standout performers

A. Mehmeti was Albania’s best-rated player, receiving 8.2 and recording 1 goal. He opened the scoring, giving his performance a direct contribution to the result.

For San Marino, G. Capicchioni earned the team’s best rating, 6.7. That rating identifies G. Capicchioni as San Marino’s highest-rated performer in the match, despite San Marino finishing without a goal.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, Goalorithm’s estimates gave San Marino a win probability of 3.2%, a draw 7.1% and Albania a win probability of 89.6%. The model’s likeliest result was Albania to win, and it assigned that outcome 89.6%.

The final score was the model's 2nd-likeliest score among the model’s possible scorelines. The result aligned with the model’s pre-match call: the model's most likely outcome happened.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Nations League

San Marino vs Albania

Tue, Sep 29 · 2:45 PM ET · San Marino Stadium

Full time

0–3

Half-time 0–2

  • 21'Anis·Mehmeti0–1
  • 27'Myrto Uzuni0–2
  • 65'Rey Manaj0–3

The model before the game

San Marino
3.2%
Draw
7.1%
Albania
89.7%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

San MarinoStatisticAlbania
5saves1
5shots13
5corners4
26%possession74%
1shots on target8
Open the Match Center

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