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Match analysis · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

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Comoros 1-0 Namibia: Match Analysis & Model Review

Comoros 1-0 Namibia in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, Tuesday, September 29: how the goal came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 29, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Comoros beat Namibia in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Tuesday, September 29, with Benjaloud Youssouf scoring after a goalless first half. The match finished 1-0, and the only goal came in the 53rd minute.

The result was a 1-0 win for Comoros over Namibia. Comoros scored one goal and Namibia no goals, leaving one goal across the match. The lead story was straightforward: only Comoros ever led.

How it unfolded

The teams reached the interval at 0-0. Youssouf then scored for Comoros in the 53rd minute, making it 1-0. That remained the score through the end of the match; no other goal is recorded.

The numbers

Comoros recorded 13 shots and Namibia 16, with each side registering 4 shots on target. Possession was 52% for Comoros and 48% for Namibia. The corner count was 8 for Comoros and 3 for Namibia; each goalkeeper made 3 saves.

The figures show activity in attack from both teams, alongside a match in which only Comoros scored. The shots-on-target totals were level, while the possession and corner figures give further detail on how the match was played. None of those measures changed the outcome: Youssouf's goal was the only one, and it decided the result. Namibia finished without a goal despite recording shots and putting efforts on target. Comoros, meanwhile, converted the decisive moment into the result.

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Standout performers

B. Youssouf was Comoros' best-rated player, receiving 7.7 and recording 1 goal. His goal supplied the match's only score and made him a central figure in the outcome.

Ngero Katua was Namibia's best-rated player, with a rating of 7.2. The rating marks him out as his team's leading performer in the match. Namibia did not score, while Comoros' sole goal came from Youssouf.

How the model called it

Before the match, Goalorithm's model gave Comoros a win probability of 64.2%, a draw probability of 24.2% and a Namibia win probability of 11.6%. These probabilities are estimates. The model's most likely outcome was Comoros to win, and it gave the actual result 64.2%; the model's most likely outcome happened.

The final score was the model's 1st-likeliest score. The model's outcome call and its score assessment both corresponded with the result on the pitch: Comoros won, and Youssouf's goal settled a match that was level at half-time.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Comoros vs Namibia

Tue, Sep 29 · 9:00 AM ET · Stade omnisports de Malouzini

Full time

1–0

Half-time 0–0

  • 53'Benjaloud Youssouf1–0

The model before the game

Comoros
64.2%
Draw
24.2%
Namibia
11.6%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

ComorosStatisticNamibia
3saves3
13shots16
8corners3
52%possession48%
4shots on target4
Open the Match Center

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