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Match analysis · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

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Benin 2-0 Mauritania: Match Analysis & Model Review

Benin 2-0 Mauritania in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, Tuesday, September 29: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 29, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Benin beat Mauritania 2-0 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Tuesday, September 29. The half-time score was 1-0, and Benin finished with two goals while Mauritania had no goals. The match total was two goals.

The scoreline records a win for Benin and a defeat for Mauritania, with the half-time score showing that Benin already held the lead at the interval. The final score confirms that Benin added to that advantage after the break, while Mauritania did not score.

How it unfolded

The half-time score was 1-0. The match ended 2-0, with two goals for Benin and no goals for Mauritania. No goal times or scorers are available, so the scoreline gives the course of the scoring without attributing either goal to a named player or a particular moment.

The result came in a match with two goals. That figure sits alongside a clean sheet for Benin and no goals for Mauritania; it does not, by itself, identify when the scoring took place.

The numbers

Benin recorded 9 shots, with 4 on target. Mauritania recorded 1 shot, with 1 on target. Those totals set out the attempts and efforts on target for each side without identifying the players responsible. The figures describe the volume and accuracy recorded in the match, while the scoreline shows that only Benin converted an effort into a goal.

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Predictions
My Picks

Possession was 54% for Benin and 46% for Mauritania. The corner counts were 2 for Benin and 1 for Mauritania. Goalkeeper saves were 1 for Benin and 2 for Mauritania. Together, those measures provide a compact account of possession, set-piece opportunities and saves, alongside the shots and target figures. They do not supply details of individual chances, the positions from which attempts were taken, or how the goalkeepers made their saves.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, Goalorithm's model gave Benin a win probability of 33.6%, a draw probability of 30.8% and a Mauritania win probability of 35.6%. These probabilities are estimates. The model's most likely outcome was Mauritania to win, and it gave the actual result a probability of 33.6%. The result went against the model's most likely outcome. The forecast therefore leaned towards a Mauritania win, while the match finished with a Benin victory. The probabilities set out the model's pre-match view; the final score records what happened on the pitch.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Benin vs Mauritania

Tue, Sep 29 · 1:00 PM ET · Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara

Full time

2–0

Half-time 1–0

The model before the game

Benin
33.6%
Draw
30.8%
Mauritania
35.6%

The result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The numbers

BeninStatisticMauritania
1saves2
9shots1
2corners1
54%possession46%
4shots on target1
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