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Match analysis · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

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Somalia 0-2 Ivory Coast: Match Analysis & Model Review

Somalia 0-2 Ivory Coast in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, Tuesday, September 29: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 29, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Somalia lost 0-2 to Ivory Coast in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Tuesday, September 29. The sides were level at half-time, but Ivory Coast finished with the goals needed to take the match. Somalia did not score, and the final tally was two goals.

The numbers

The shot count was 10 for Ivory Coast and 1 for Somalia. Ivory Coast registered 2 shots on target, while Somalia had 0. That difference captures a key feature of the contest: Somalia did not force a save with a shot on target, while Ivory Coast managed to produce attempts that tested the goalkeeper and scored twice. The overall shot figures also show that Ivory Coast generated substantially more attempts, though the match statistics do not describe how each effort developed or when the goals arrived.

Possession stood at 67% for Ivory Coast and 33% for Somalia. Ivory Coast had more of the ball, while Somalia spent less time in possession; the figures offer a clear account of which side controlled more of that resource, but do not by themselves explain the sequence of play. The corner count was 3 for Ivory Coast and 0 for Somalia, another measure in which Ivory Coast recorded the larger total. The save figures were 2 for Somalia and 0 for Ivory Coast. Taken together, the numbers describe a match where Ivory Coast had more possession, attempts and corners, and where Somalia never put a shot on target. They do not supply a goal timeline, so the account here rests on the final score and the available match totals rather than an invented description of the scoring sequence.

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Standout performers

Ivory Coast's highest-rated player was Y. Diomande, with a rating of 7.2. For Somalia, the best rating belonged to B. Njie, at 7.1. Those ratings identify the leading performers by the available player measure, even as the result went Ivory Coast's way.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, Goalorithm's model gave Somalia a 4.7% chance of winning, a draw 11.5% chance, and Ivory Coast an 83.8% chance of victory. These probabilities are estimates. Ivory Coast to win was the model's most likely outcome, and it gave the actual result 83.8%; the model's most likely outcome happened. The final score was the model's 1st-likeliest score.

The call was borne out by the result: Ivory Coast won, and the scoreline matched the model's leading exact-score prediction. The match figures offer context for that outcome, with Ivory Coast ahead in possession, shots and corners, while Somalia ended without a shot on target. The model's pre-match view and the final result therefore pointed in the same direction, with the score prediction also landing on the eventual margin.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Somalia vs Ivory Coast

Tue, Sep 29 · 3:00 PM ET · Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny

Full time

0–2

Half-time 0–0

The model before the game

Somalia
4.7%
Draw
11.5%
Ivory Coast
83.8%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

SomaliaStatisticIvory Coast
2saves0
1shots10
0corners3
33%possession67%
0shots on target2
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