Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Data provider's injury report: Fortuna Sittard 3 out · Excelsior none out
Bookmakers: no line yet
Model + bookmakers blend: Fortuna Sittard 38%
Data provider's injury report: Inter 6 out · Fiorentina 4 out
Bookmakers: no line yet
Model + bookmakers blend: Inter 70%
Data provider's injury report: Athletic Club 4 out · Getafe 5 out
Bookmakers: no line yet
Model + bookmakers blend: Athletic Club 56%
Data provider's injury report: NEC Nijmegen 5 out · Groningen 3 out
Data provider's injury report: PSV Eindhoven 5 out · Feyenoord 2 out
Data provider's injury report: Atalanta 7 out · Frosinone 1 out
Data provider's injury report: Genoa 2 out · Venezia 4 out
Data provider's injury report: Monaco 2 out · Lille 3 out
Data provider's injury report: Hull City 7 out · Brentford 5 out
Data provider's injury report: Liverpool 6 out · Brighton 7 out
Data provider's injury report: Manchester United 5 out · Bournemouth 3 out
Data provider's injury report: 1899 Hoffenheim 3 out · Bayer Leverkusen 5 out
Data provider's injury report: Celta Vigo 5 out · Real Betis 4 out
Data provider's injury report: Sparta Rotterdam 1 out · Ajax 7 out
Data provider's injury report: Toulouse 2 out · Estac Troyes 4 out
Data provider's injury report: Angers 1 out · Lorient 1 out
Data provider's injury report: Marseille 1 out · Le Havre 6 out
Data provider's injury report: Rennes 1 out · Strasbourg 4 out
Data provider's injury report: Sunderland 3 out · Leeds 2 out
Data provider's injury report: SC Freiburg none out · Bayern München 5 out
Data provider's injury report: Lecce 3 out · Juventus 9 out
Data provider's injury report: Real Sociedad 2 out · Levante 2 out
The bookmakers' favourite won 0 of 1 match.
Upset: Los Angeles FC were the bookmakers' 62% favourites and drew 2–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 60% of 373, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6) · Bookmakers or data provider: too few to say (1). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 240, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 34, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).