Published October 22, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Real Sociedad host Levante in La Liga on Sunday, October 25, with kick-off at 1:30 p.m. ET. Real Sociedad arrive on a run of wins, while Levante’s latest result was a victory over Athletic Club. The model makes a Real Sociedad win its leading outcome, but also assigns a meaningful chance to a draw.
The match is at Anoeta, San Sebastian. Real Sociedad’s recent results and Levante’s win in their latest outing give the fixture two distinct strands: the hosts’ winning run and the visitors’ response to a difficult stretch of results.
What the model expects
These probabilities are estimates. The model's likeliest result is a Real Sociedad win; its ordering is a Real Sociedad win (53.7%), then a draw (25.8%), then a Levante win (20.5%). The model gives Real Sociedad 53.7%, a draw 25.8% and Levante 20.5%. Its expected-goals figures are 1.3 for Real Sociedad and 0.8 for Levante.
The model assigns under 2.5 goals at 63.8% and over 2.5 goals at 36.2%. It gives both teams a chance to score at 41%, while its figure for at least one side failing to score is 59%. The most likely exact scores are 0-0 at 16.1%, 1-1 at 14.7% and 1-0 at 12.6%.
The bookmakers' outcomes are ordered a Real Sociedad win (54.5%), then a draw (23.5%), then a Levante win (22%). The model against that market is summarised as the model gives a Real Sociedad win 53.7%, in line with the bookmakers' 54.5%.