Published October 23, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Lecce host Juventus in Serie A on Sunday, October 25 at 1:00 p.m. ET, with the model pointing towards the visitors. Juventus arrive after a 3-0 home defeat to Lazio on October 18, while Lecce’s latest result was a 3-0 away win against Udinese on October 18.
The model’s outcome order is a Juventus win (63.6%), then a draw (21.1%), then a Lecce win (15.3%). That leaves a draw and a Lecce victory in the forecast alongside the win it favours for Juventus.
What the model expects
The model’s likeliest result is a Juventus win. Its lean is Juventus to win. These probabilities are estimates. The expected-goals figures are Lecce 1.2 and Juventus 1.9.
The model has over 2.5 goals at 57.6% and under 2.5 goals at 42.4%. It gives 58% to both teams scoring and 42% to at least one side failing to score. Its likeliest exact scores are 0-1 (12.5%), 1-0 (9.2%) and 1-2 (9.2%), with the home side listed first. The scoreline options offer different routes through the game, while the model’s stated lean is Juventus to win.
Form and standings
Lecce’s last 5 games read WLLWL: 2 wins and 3 defeats, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. The latest outing, a 3-0 away win against Udinese on October 18, was a positive result; the sequence also includes defeats.
Juventus have LDWLD across their last 5 games, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats and 6 goals scored and 8 conceded. They are without a win in their last 2. In the table, Lecce sit 11th in Serie A with 9 points from 7 games, while Juventus sit 8th in Serie A with 11 points from 6 games; Juventus sit above Lecce. The model’s stated lean is Juventus to win, while Juventus arrive on the back of their latest result.