Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Data provider's injury report: Fortuna Sittard 3 out · Excelsior none out
Bookmakers: no line yet
Model + bookmakers blend: Fortuna Sittard 38%
Data provider's injury report: Inter 6 out · Fiorentina 4 out
Bookmakers: no line yet
Model + bookmakers blend: Inter 70%
Data provider's injury report: Athletic Club 4 out · Getafe 5 out
Bookmakers: no line yet
Model + bookmakers blend: Athletic Club 56%
Data provider's injury report: NEC Nijmegen 5 out · Groningen 3 out
Data provider's injury report: PSV Eindhoven 5 out · Feyenoord 2 out
Data provider's injury report: Atalanta 7 out · Frosinone 1 out
Data provider's injury report: Genoa 2 out · Venezia 4 out
Data provider's injury report: Monaco 2 out · Lille 3 out
The bookmakers' favourite won 14 of 20 games.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the San Francisco 49ers were the bookmakers' 56% favourites and lost 20–29.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 374, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6) · Bookmakers or data provider: too few to say (1). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 237, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 34, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).