Published October 22, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Hull City host Brentford in the Premier League on Sunday, October 25 at 10:00 a.m. ET, with the fixture at MKM Stadium, Hull. The model’s likeliest result is a Brentford win; the central question is whether Hull City can turn a run of draws and defeats into a result against a side whose recent record also contains plenty of draws. These probabilities are estimates, and the model’s outlook leaves room for more than one kind of game.
What the model expects
The model’s outcomes run a Brentford win (53.6%), then a draw (25.1%), then a Hull City win (21.3%). That makes Brentford the clearest pick in the result ordering, though a draw remains a substantial part of the forecast and a Hull City win is also in the picture. The model gives Brentford 53.6%, with 25.1% for the draw and 21.3% for Hull City.
The goals outlook is close to even: under 2.5 goals at 50.3% and over 2.5 goals at 49.7%. The model expects Hull City to produce 1.3 expected goals and Brentford 1.4. It gives both teams a chance of scoring, with 53.8% for both to score and 46.2% for at least one side to be kept off the scoresheet. Those estimates point to a competitive match rather than a forecast built around a single dominant scoreline.
The likeliest exact score is 1-1 at 14.1%, followed by 0-0 at 10.5% and 1-2 at 8.2%. The leading score is level, while the next option is also goalless. The third option has Brentford scoring one more than Hull City; taken together, the score forecasts reflect the model’s narrow expected-goals gap.