Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Called off: Turkmenistan v Palestine (cancelled)
The bookmakers' favourite won 13 of 22 matches.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: South Korea were the bookmakers' 38% favourites and lost 1–4.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers had no favourite at the close.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Latvia were the bookmakers' 36% favourites and drew 0–0.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Hungary were the bookmakers' 36% favourites and drew 0–0.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Romania were the bookmakers' 39% favourites and lost 2–4.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Guadeloupe were the bookmakers' 41% favourites and drew 2–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Tunisia were the bookmakers' 80% favourites and drew 2–2.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Jamaica were the bookmakers' 44% favourites and lost 0–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Grenada were the bookmakers' 43% favourites and lost 0–3.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Bermuda were the bookmakers' 42% favourites and lost 2–5.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 369, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 67% of 242, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 53% of 30, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (17).