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GOALORITHM / FTB

Match analysis · Friendlies

Research workspace

Kyrgyzstan 5-0 Maldives: Match Analysis & Model Review

Kyrgyzstan 5-0 Maldives in a friendly, Monday, September 28: how the goals came and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 28, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Kyrgyzstan beat Maldives 5-0 in a friendly on Monday, September 28. The scoring was complete by half-time, when the teams stood at 5-0, and the second half brought no change to the scoreline. The result was a 5-0 win for Kyrgyzstan over Maldives, with every goal belonging to Kyrgyzstan and no reply from Maldives.

The shape of the game is clear in the final score and the timing of the goals: Kyrgyzstan moved ahead, added to that advantage before the interval, and went into the break with the match already settled on the scoreboard. There was no comeback or late change to report; the opening half supplied the entire sequence of scoring.

How it unfolded

E. Atabaev put Kyrgyzstan in front in the 11th minute, making it 1-0. S. Astanakulov scored in the 20th minute to extend the advantage, and E. Atabaev followed in the 23rd minute, taking the score to 3-0.

The scoring continued when V. Murzakov found the net in the 32nd minute. J. Kojo completed the sequence in the 42nd minute, establishing a five-goal lead for Kyrgyzstan at 5-0. The lead account is straightforward: only Kyrgyzstan ever led.

The numbers

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Kyrgyzstan finished with five goals; Maldives had no goals, leaving five goals in all. E. Atabaev supplied two goals and earned a brace. Those figures underline both the spread of the scoring across the half and the absence of a response from Maldives.

How the model called it

Before kickoff, Goalorithm's model gave Kyrgyzstan a 54.3% chance of winning, put the draw at 25.9%, and assigned Maldives a 19.7% chance. These probabilities are estimates. The model's most likely outcome was Kyrgyzstan to win, and it gave that outcome 54.3%.

The match finished in line with that call: the model's most likely outcome happened. The model identified a Kyrgyzstan win as the likeliest result, and the final score confirmed the direction of its prediction. Its pre-match view was not a description of how the goals would arrive; the match facts show that all the scoring came before the interval, while the model's stated call concerned the outcome.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Friendlies

Kyrgyzstan vs Maldives

Mon, Sep 28 · 10:00 AM ET

Full time

5–0

Half-time 5–0

  • 11'E. Atabaev1–0
  • 20'S. Astanakulov2–0
  • 23'E. Atabaev3–0
  • 32'V. Murzakov4–0
  • 42'J. Kojo5–0

The model before the game

Kyrgyzstan
54.3%
Draw
25.9%
Maldives
19.7%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

Open the Match Center

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