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GOALORITHM / FTB

Match analysis · Friendlies

Research workspace

South Korea 1-4 Uruguay: Match Analysis & Model Review

South Korea 1-4 Uruguay in a friendly, Monday, September 28: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 28, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Uruguay beat South Korea 1-4 in a friendly on Monday, September 28, after the half-time score stood at 0-3. The match was played at Seoul World Cup Stadium, and the final result was a 4-1 win for Uruguay over South Korea.

The scoreline records one goal for South Korea and four goals for Uruguay, with five goals in all. Those figures set out the outcome and the total scoring, while the match statistics provide a separate account of possession, attempts, corners and saves.

The numbers

South Korea had 56% possession, with 8 shots and 4 on target. Uruguay recorded 44% possession, 5 shots and 2 on target. These measures describe the ball share and the teams’ attempts, without changing what the final score records.

The corner figures were 5 for South Korea and 0 for Uruguay. The saves totals were 0 for South Korea and 4 for Uruguay. Together, these numbers cover several parts of the match: possession, efforts at goal, corners and goalkeeper saves. They sit alongside the scoring figures, but do not supply further detail about when the goals came or how individual passages of play developed.

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South Korea’s best-rated player was Jae-sung Lee, with a rating of 6.9. Uruguay’s best-rated player was Giorgian de Arrascaeta, whose rating was 8.2; the recorded contribution was 1 goal and 1 assist.

The ratings identify the leading individual performance for each team. The contribution recorded for Giorgian de Arrascaeta includes a goal and an assist, while Jae-sung Lee held the best rating for South Korea.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, Goalorithm’s model gave South Korea a 49% chance of winning, put the draw at 26.4%, and gave Uruguay a 24.6% chance of winning. These probabilities are estimates. The model’s most likely outcome was South Korea to win; it assigned the actual result a probability of 24.6%. The result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The pre-match forecast therefore pointed to South Korea to win, while the match ended with a 4-1 win for Uruguay over South Korea. The model’s assessment and the final score tell different stories: the outcome it identified as most likely did not occur, although its pre-match probabilities included the result that followed.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Friendlies

South Korea vs Uruguay

Mon, Sep 28 · 7:00 AM ET · Seoul World Cup Stadium

Full time

1–4

Half-time 0–3

The model before the game

South Korea
49%
Draw
26.4%
Uruguay
24.6%

The result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The numbers

South KoreaStatisticUruguay
0saves4
8shots5
5corners0
56%possession44%
4shots on target2
Open the Match Center

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