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Match analysis · CONCACAF Nations League

Research workspace

Guadeloupe 2-2 Barbados: Match Analysis & Model Review

Guadeloupe 2-2 Barbados in the CONCACAF Nations League, Monday, September 28: how the goals came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 28, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Guadeloupe and Barbados finished level at 2-2 in the CONCACAF Nations League on Monday, September 28, with a 2-2 draw. After a goalless first half, Guadeloupe took the lead, Barbados turned the score around, and Guadeloupe struck again in stoppage time to secure the draw.

The sequence made for a match in which neither side held the advantage for long once the scoring began. Both sides led at some point; the lead changed hands once; the score was levelled twice. Guadeloupe’s Djamalee Boisne supplied both of their goals, while Barbados had two different scorers.

How it unfolded

The sides went into the break at 0-0. Djamalee Boisne put Guadeloupe ahead in the 49th minute, making it 1-0. Thierry Gale levelled for Barbados in the 76th minute, then Niall stephen reid moved Barbados in front in the 78th minute.

Guadeloupe’s response arrived in the 90th minute (+1): Djamalee Boisne made it 2-2 and completed a brace. The late equaliser settled the scoring at 2-2.

The numbers

The match ended with four goals. Guadeloupe recorded 5 shots, including 3 on target; Barbados had 10 shots, with 3 on target. Possession was 45% for Guadeloupe and 55% for Barbados.

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My Picks

The corner count was 2 for Guadeloupe and 5 for Barbados. Each side made 1 save. Those figures describe a game with efforts on target from both teams and a scoring contribution from each, ending with neither side able to keep its lead.

Standout performers

A. Plumain was Guadeloupe’s best-rated player, with a rating of 6.8 and 1 assist. The decisive scoring contribution came from Djamalee Boisne, whose two goals included the stoppage-time equaliser.

For Barbados, T. Gale was the best-rated player, earning 7.5 with 1 goal. The goal brought the match level before Barbados moved ahead, though Guadeloupe’s late reply left the teams sharing the result.

How the model called it

The model’s pre-match estimates were 76.7% for a Guadeloupe win, 14.7% for a draw and 8.7% for a Barbados win; these are estimates. Its most likely outcome was Guadeloupe to win, while it assigned the actual result 14.7%.

As the result went against the model's most likely outcome, the draw did not match the outcome the model had identified as most likely. The late equaliser preserved a point for Guadeloupe, but the model’s pre-match view favoured Guadeloupe to win rather than a level score.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

CONCACAF Nations League

Guadeloupe vs Barbados

Mon, Sep 28 · 3:00 PM ET · Darren Sammy National Cricket Stadium

Full time

2–2

Half-time 0–0

  • 49'Djamalee Boisne1–0
  • 76'Thierry Gale1–1
  • 78'Niall stephen reid1–2
  • 90'+1Djamalee Boisne2–2

The model before the game

Guadeloupe
76.7%
Draw
14.7%
Barbados
8.7%

The result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The numbers

GuadeloupeStatisticBarbados
1saves1
5shots10
2corners5
45%possession55%
3shots on target3
Open the Match Center

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