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Match analysis · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

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Zimbabwe 1-2 Congo DR: Match Analysis & Model Review

Zimbabwe 1-2 Congo DR in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, Monday, September 28: how the goals came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 28, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Congo DR beat Zimbabwe in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Monday, September 28, with a 2-1 win for Congo DR over Zimbabwe. Congo DR built a two-goal lead before Marshall Munetsi scored late, narrowing the margin without changing the winner.

The half-time score was 0-2, and the final score was 1-2. Only Congo DR ever led, and their advantage reached a two-goal lead at 0-2. Congo DR scored twice before the break, while Zimbabwe's goal came in the closing minutes. The match produced three goals in all.

How it unfolded

Yoane Wissa opened the scoring for Congo DR in the 30th minute, making it 0-1. Samuel Moutoussamy added the second for Congo DR in the 45th minute (+2), taking the score to 0-2 before the break.

Zimbabwe's goal came from Marshall Munetsi in the 90th minute (+3). The strike made it 1-2, but Congo DR held on for the result. The late goal reduced the deficit; it did not prevent Congo DR's win.

The numbers

The final tally was one goal for Zimbabwe and two goals for Congo DR. Zimbabwe recorded 13 shots and Congo DR recorded 13; their shots on target counts were 6 and 4, respectively.

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Matches
Predictions
My Picks

Possession was 49% for Zimbabwe and 51% for Congo DR. Zimbabwe had 6 corners, with Congo DR on 1. The saves figures were 2 for Zimbabwe and 5 for Congo DR.

The shot totals and possession figures describe a closely shared contest, while the scoreline was decided by the goals. Congo DR found the net twice before the interval, and Zimbabwe scored once late.

Standout performers

M. Munetsi was Zimbabwe's best-rated player, with a rating of 7.7 and 1 goal. His goal supplied Zimbabwe's only score, coming in the 90th minute (+3) to make it 1-2.

Y. Wissa earned Congo DR's best rating, 8.8, after contributing 1 goal and 1 assist. He scored the opening goal in the 30th minute, setting Congo DR on course to lead at the break.

How the model called it

Before kickoff, the model estimated a Zimbabwe win at 24.4%, a draw at 33.2% and a Congo DR win at 42.4%. Those probabilities are estimates. Its most likely outcome was Congo DR to win, to which it gave 42.4%.

The result followed that pre-match call: the model's most likely outcome happened. Congo DR converted the model's most likely outcome into the match result, with Y. Wissa scoring first and Samuel Moutoussamy adding the second before Zimbabwe's late goal.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Zimbabwe vs Congo DR

Mon, Sep 28 · 12:00 PM ET · National Sports Stadium

Full time

1–2

Half-time 0–2

  • 30'Yoane Wissa0–1
  • 45'+2Samuel Moutoussamy0–2
  • 90'+3Marshall Munetsi1–2

The model before the game

Zimbabwe
24.4%
Draw
33.2%
Congo DR
42.4%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

ZimbabweStatisticCongo DR
2saves5
13shots13
6corners1
49%possession51%
6shots on target4
Open the Match Center

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