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GOALORITHM / FTB

Match analysis · UEFA Nations League

Research workspace

Latvia 0-0 Cyprus: Match Analysis & Model Review

Latvia 0-0 Cyprus in the UEFA Nations League, Monday, September 28: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 28, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Latvia and Cyprus finished 0-0 in the UEFA Nations League on Monday, September 28, sharing a 0-0 draw. The half-time score was 0-0, and neither team found a goal before the final whistle. The scoreline was a draw; the match statistics record efforts, possession and corners for both teams, but no scoring return.

The final score was the model's 1st-likeliest score. The match therefore ended level, with Latvia and Cyprus both finishing without a goal.

How it unfolded

There were no goals: Latvia scored no goals, Cyprus scored no goals, and the match had no goals in all. The score was 0-0 at half-time and 0-0 at full-time.

The numbers

Latvia recorded 8 shots and Cyprus recorded 18. On target, the figures were 0 for Latvia and 5 for Cyprus. Neither side converted an effort into a goal, leaving the final score unchanged from half-time.

Possession was 33% for Latvia and 67% for Cyprus. The corner counts were 4 for Latvia and 11 for Cyprus. In saves, Latvia recorded 5 and Cyprus recorded 0. These figures describe the match’s distribution of possession, shots, corners and saves, alongside a scoreline with no goals.

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The figures offer a contrast between the match’s activity and its outcome: both teams registered shots, and Cyprus had efforts on target, but neither side scored. The draw is the clearest measure of the result; the other statistics add detail without changing that basic fact.

Standout performers

Latvia's best-rated player was R. Matrevics, with a rating of 7.7. Cyprus' best-rated player was G. Malekkides, rated 7.2. Those ratings identify the top-rated player for each team in a match that ended without a goal.

How the model called it

Before kickoff, Goalorithm's model gave Latvia a 36.5% chance of winning, a draw 28.9%, and Cyprus a 34.6% chance of winning. These probabilities are estimates. The model's most likely outcome was Latvia to win; it gave the actual result 28.9%, and the result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The model’s pre-match view and the final score tell different parts of the story. Its stated most likely outcome was a win for Latvia, while the match finished level. The recorded shots, possession, corners and saves add context to that result, but the scoreline remained 0-0.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Nations League

Latvia vs Cyprus

Mon, Sep 28 · 12:00 PM ET · Skonto

Full time

0–0

Half-time 0–0

The model before the game

Latvia
36.5%
Draw
28.9%
Cyprus
34.6%

The result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The numbers

LatviaStatisticCyprus
5saves0
8shots18
4corners11
33%possession67%
0shots on target5
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