Internal use only
Skip to main content
GoalorithmSports intelligence
All Sports

Football

Upcoming GamesPredictionsPlayer ProjectionsParlay BuilderMy PicksBetting JournalResults

Intelligence

NewsModel PerformanceData Health

Explore

StandingsValue ScanPlayersCompetitions

Build your edge

Understand every number behind the call.

Learn the numbers Explore membership

Match intelligence

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL

Football

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL
GOALORITHM / FTB

Match analysis · CONCACAF Nations League

Research workspace

Suriname 2-1 Martinique: Match Analysis & Model Review

Suriname 2-1 Martinique in the CONCACAF Nations League, Monday, September 28: how the goals came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

← All news
Home / News / Soccer / Match analysis

Published September 28, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Suriname beat Martinique 2-1 in the CONCACAF Nations League, with the 0-0 half-time score giving way to a decisive spell after the break. Justin Lonwijk and Gyrano Kerk put Suriname in front, and Boris Moltenis’s reply made the closing stages more tense without changing the outcome.

Suriname had 68% possession and registered 14 shots, while Martinique had 32% possession and 10 shots. The corner count was level, and Suriname’s advantage grew to a two-goal lead before Martinique found the net. Only Suriname ever led. The final score was 2-1.

How it unfolded

The sides went in at the break with the score at 0-0. Suriname broke the deadlock in the 54th minute, when Justin Lonwijk made it 1-0. That breakthrough was followed by Gyrano Kerk’s goal in the 69th minute, extending the lead to 2-0.

Martinique answered in the 81st minute, with Boris Moltenis reducing the deficit to 2-1. His goal left Suriname to protect a narrower lead, but Martinique did not find another equaliser. The sequence of goals settled the match: Suriname scored two goals before Martinique’s response, and held on for a 2-1 win for Suriname over Martinique.

The numbers

More soccer news

All news →

SoccerPreview· Primeira Liga

Moreirense vs GIL Vicente Prediction & Preview (October 9)

Moreirense vs GIL Vicente in Primeira Liga, Friday, October 9. Goalorithm's model makes GIL Vicente win the most likely result at 37.5%. Form, the table, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Fri, Oct 9 · 1:45 PM ET

SoccerPreview· Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen Prediction & Preview (October 9)

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen in Eredivisie, Friday, October 9. Goalorithm's model makes PSV Eindhoven win the most likely result at 72.7%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Fri, Oct 9 · 2:00 PM ET

Matches
Predictions
My Picks

Suriname recorded 14 shots, with 5 on target. Martinique had 10 shots and 3 on target. The teams also had 6 and 6 corners respectively. Suriname had 68% possession, against 32% for Martinique.

Suriname made 2 saves and Martinique 3. The match finished with three goals: Suriname scored two goals, while Martinique scored one goal. The figures capture a game in which Suriname held the larger share of possession and produced more shots, while the teams recorded the same number of corners.

Standout performers

L. van Gelderen was Suriname’s best-rated player, earning 7.6.

For Martinique, B. Moltenis received a 7.5 rating and scored 1 goal. His goal came after Suriname had established its biggest advantage, at 2-0.

How the model called it

Before kickoff, Goalorithm’s model gave Suriname a 63.9% chance of winning, the draw 21.8% chance and Martinique a 14.3% chance. These probabilities are estimates. Its stated favourite was Suriname to win, and it gave the actual outcome 63.9%.

The result followed that pre-match call: the model's most likely outcome happened. Suriname turned the model’s expectation into a win through the goals that created separation, then kept Martinique’s late response from altering the final score.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

CONCACAF Nations League

Suriname vs Martinique

Mon, Sep 28 · 6:00 PM ET · Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion

Full time

2–1

Half-time 0–0

  • 54'Justin Lonwijk1–0
  • 69'Gyrano Kerk2–0
  • 81'Boris Moltenis2–1

The model before the game

Suriname
64%
Draw
21.8%
Martinique
14.3%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

SurinameStatisticMartinique
2saves3
14shots10
6corners6
68%possession32%
5shots on target3
Open the Match Center

SoccerPreview· Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Preview (October 9)

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen in Bundesliga, Friday, October 9. Goalorithm's model makes Borussia Dortmund win the most likely result at 68.8%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Fri, Oct 9 · 2:30 PM ET

SoccerPreview· Ligue 1

Lens vs Lyon Prediction & Preview (October 9)

Lens vs Lyon in Ligue 1, Friday, October 9. Goalorithm's model makes Lens win the most likely result at 37.4%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Fri, Oct 9 · 2:45 PM ET