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GOALORITHM / FTB

Match analysis · UEFA Nations League

Research workspace

Georgia 0-0 Ukraine: Match Analysis & Model Review

Georgia 0-0 Ukraine in the UEFA Nations League, Monday, September 28: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 28, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Georgia and Ukraine shared a 0-0 draw in the UEFA Nations League on Monday, September 28, with the score 0-0 at half-time and 0-0 at the end. Georgia registered 14 shots to Ukraine’s 7, but neither side found a goal. The final score reflected a contest in which Georgia produced more attempts without turning that activity into a breakthrough.

The draw leaves the clearest impression in the contrast between Georgia’s volume of shooting and the absence of a finish. Ukraine had fewer efforts, yet also held slightly more of the ball; neither measure was enough to change the score.

The numbers

Georgia had 49% possession and Ukraine had 51%. The shots-on-target count was 5 for Georgia and 2 for Ukraine, while the corner figures were 4 and 0 respectively. Those totals point to Georgia creating more opportunities to test the opposing goal, though Ukraine’s share of possession kept the match from being a one-sided account of the play.

The save figures were 2 for Georgia and 5 for Ukraine. Ukraine’s goalkeeper was called upon more often, consistent with Georgia’s larger shot tally and greater number of efforts on target. Georgia’s corners also provided further attacking situations, but there was no goal to show for them. Ukraine’s smaller number of attempts did not translate into a goal either, leaving the result level despite the different shape of the teams’ attacking statistics.

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The figures describe pressure and resistance rather than a decisive edge on the scoreboard. Georgia generated the more substantial shooting output, while Ukraine’s possession share was marginally higher. Neither side converted its chances, and the score remained unchanged from half-time through the final whistle.

Standout performers

Georgia’s best-rated player was G. Tsitaishvili, rated 7.3. For Ukraine, A. Trubin was the top-rated performer at 8.4; the save total for Ukraine points to a significant goalkeeping contribution in keeping Georgia from scoring.

The ratings identify the leading individual performances on each side, while the match statistics give particular weight to Ukraine’s goalkeeping display. Georgia’s greater attacking output made that resistance central to the clean sheet.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, Goalorithm’s model gave Georgia a win probability of 35.8%, a draw 29.2% and a Ukraine win 35%. These probabilities are estimates. The model’s most likely outcome was Georgia to win, while it gave the actual result a probability of 29.2%; the result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The final score 0-0 was the model's 1st-likeliest score. The model therefore identified the draw as a possible outcome, but its leading call was a Georgia win. The match ended without the goal that would have settled it in favour of either side, making the model’s pre-match preference distinct from the result on the pitch.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Nations League

Georgia vs Ukraine

Mon, Sep 28 · 12:00 PM ET · Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena

Full time

0–0

Half-time 0–0

The model before the game

Georgia
35.8%
Draw
29.2%
Ukraine
35%

The result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The numbers

GeorgiaStatisticUkraine
2saves5
14shots7
4corners0
49%possession51%
5shots on target2
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