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Match analysis · UEFA Nations League

Research workspace

Northern Ireland 0-0 Hungary: Match Analysis & Model Review

Northern Ireland 0-0 Hungary in the UEFA Nations League, Monday, September 28: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 28, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Northern Ireland and Hungary shared a goalless draw in the UEFA Nations League on Monday, September 28. The sides were level at half-time, and neither found a goal after the break. The final score was 0-0.

Hungary had the larger share of possession and took more shots, but Northern Ireland put more efforts on target. That difference did not produce a winner: both teams finished without scoring, and the points were shared.

The numbers

Hungary had 64% possession and attempted 13 shots, with 1 on target. Northern Ireland had 36% possession, took 10 shots and recorded 3 on target. The figures show that Hungary held the ball for more of the match, while Northern Ireland made more of its attempts count as shots on target.

Northern Ireland had 3 corners to Hungary's 2. Northern Ireland's goalkeeper was credited with 1 save, while Hungary's goalkeeper made 3 saves. Neither side converted its chances into a goal, and the match ended without a score from either team.

Standout performers

Tom Atcheson was Northern Ireland's best-rated player, with a rating of 7.0. A. Tóth led the ratings for Hungary, at 7.2. Those were the highest individual ratings recorded for the respective sides.

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How the model called it

Before kick-off, Goalorithm's estimates gave Northern Ireland a 29.2% chance of winning, a draw 30%, and Hungary a 40.8% chance. These are estimates of possible outcomes. The model's most likely outcome was Hungary to win, but it gave the actual result 30%; the result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The final score, 0-0, was the model's 1st-likeliest score. The model's call on the most likely outcome and its exact-score ranking describe separate predictions: the model identified this scoreline as its most likely exact score, while its preferred match outcome was a Hungary win. The result therefore matched the model's score ranking but not its most likely outcome.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland vs Hungary

Mon, Sep 28 · 2:45 PM ET · Puskás Aréna

Full time

0–0

Half-time 0–0

The model before the game

Northern Ireland
29.2%
Draw
30%
Hungary
40.8%

The result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The numbers

Northern IrelandStatisticHungary
1saves3
10shots13
3corners2
36%possession64%
3shots on target1
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