Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
The bookmakers' favourite won 17 of 26 games.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Union St. Gilloise were the bookmakers' 38% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Sparta Praha were the bookmakers' 71% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: 1899 Hoffenheim were the bookmakers' 49% favourites and lost 2–3.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Marseille were the bookmakers' 40% favourites and lost 0–1.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: NEC Nijmegen were the bookmakers' 50% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the East Carolina Pirates were the bookmakers' 64% favourites and lost 17–30.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Los Angeles Dodgers were the bookmakers' 59% favourites and lost 4–6.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Seattle Seahawks were the bookmakers' 58% favourites and lost 14–17.
Upset: the Oklahoma City Thunder were the bookmakers' 57% favourites and lost 89–116.
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 372, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6) · Bookmakers or data provider: too few to say (1). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 240, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 34, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).