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Match analysis · UEFA Europa League

Research workspace

Celje 0-3 Omonia Nicosia: Match Analysis & Model Review

Celje 0-3 Omonia Nicosia in the UEFA Europa League, Thursday, October 15: how the goals came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 15, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

A 3-0 win for Omonia Nicosia over Celje in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday, October 15, with Jaden Sean Montnor, Muamer Tanković and Senou Coulibaly scoring for Omonia Nicosia. The interval score was 0-1, and only Omonia Nicosia ever led before Omonia Nicosia reached a three-goal lead at 0-3.

Celje finished without a goal, while Omonia Nicosia scored three goals, giving three goals across the match. The final score reflects three goals for Omonia Nicosia; the scoring was shared among Jaden Sean Montnor, Muamer Tanković and Senou Coulibaly.

How it unfolded

Jaden Sean Montnor opened the scoring for Omonia Nicosia in the 16th minute, making it 0-1. Celje went into the interval at 0-1, with Omonia Nicosia holding the only lead recorded in the match.

Muamer Tanković added a goal for Omonia Nicosia in the 59th minute, moving the score to 0-2. Senou Coulibaly completed the scoring in the 84th minute, setting 0-3. The sequence of goals shows Omonia Nicosia scoring before and after the interval, with the last goal fixing the final margin.

The numbers

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Week
Predictions
My Tracker

Celje recorded 12 shots, including 2 on target, and had 61% possession. Omonia Nicosia registered 14 shots, with 6 on target, and had 39% possession. Expected goals were 1 for Celje and 2.13 for Omonia Nicosia. Celje had 3 corners and made 3 saves; Omonia Nicosia had 6 corners and made 2 saves.

The figures describe a match in which Celje had the larger share of possession but did not score, while Omonia Nicosia converted its scoring opportunities into the goals that decided the result. Both teams registered shots on target, and the expected-goals figures offer another measure of the chances created. The corners and saves add further detail to the match record without changing its defining fact: Omonia Nicosia scored three goals and Celje did not find the net.

Standout performers

M. Tankovic was Omonia Nicosia’s best-rated player, earning 7.8 with 1 goal. That goal came in the 59th minute, when Omonia Nicosia moved to 0-2; it formed the middle part of the scoring sequence. Celje’s best-rated player was S. Sešlar, rated 6.7.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, Goalorithm’s model gave Celje a win probability of 30.4%, a draw probability of 28.2% and an Omonia Nicosia win probability of 41.4%. These probabilities are estimates. The model’s most likely outcome was Omonia Nicosia to win, and it gave the actual result 41.4%; the model's most likely outcome happened.

The match ended with Omonia Nicosia scoring before and after the interval, while Celje finished without a goal. The model’s pre-match call and the final result therefore point to the same outcome, with Omonia Nicosia delivering the win the model had identified as most likely.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Europa League

Celje vs Omonia Nicosia

Thu, Oct 15 · 12:45 PM ET · Stadion Z’dežele

Full time

0–3

Half-time 0–1

  • 16'Jaden Sean Montnor0–1
  • 59'Muamer Tanković0–2
  • 84'Senou Coulibaly0–3

The model before the game

Celje
30.4%
Draw
28.2%
Omonia Nicosia
41.4%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

CeljeStatisticOmonia Nicosia
3saves2
12shots14
3corners6
61%possession39%
1expected goals2.13
2shots on target6
Open the Match Center

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