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Match analysis · UEFA Europa League

Research workspace

Ferencvarosi TC 2-1 Plzen: Match Analysis & Model Review

Ferencvarosi TC 2-1 Plzen in the UEFA Europa League, Thursday, October 15: how the goals came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 15, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Ferencvarosi TC beat Plzen 2-1 in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday, October 15, with Kristoffer Zachariassen scoring both goals for Ferencvarosi TC. The teams reached the interval at 0-0; after the break, Ferencvarosi TC went in front and later extended the lead from the penalty spot before Plzen scored in the closing stages.

The match finished with a 2-1 win for Ferencvarosi TC over Plzen. Only Ferencvarosi TC ever led, and Ferencvarosi TC held a two-goal lead at 2-0. Plzen’s late goal reduced the deficit, but Ferencvarosi TC kept the advantage through to the final whistle.

How it unfolded

The teams went in level at 0-0. In the 49th minute, Kristoffer Zachariassen scored for Ferencvarosi TC to make it 1-0, giving Ferencvarosi TC the lead. That remained the score until the closing stages.

In the 81st minute, Kristoffer Zachariassen scored a penalty for Ferencvarosi TC, making it 2-0. Plzen replied through Denis Višinský in the 90th minute; the goal made it 2-1, with Ferencvarosi TC still in front at full time.

The numbers

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Week
Predictions
My Tracker

Possession was 54% for Ferencvarosi TC and 46% for Plzen. The sides recorded 12 and 18 shots respectively, with 6 and 7 on target. Expected goals came in at 2.47 for Ferencvarosi TC and 1.99 for Plzen.

There were 7 corners for Ferencvarosi TC and 3 for Plzen. The save totals were 6 for Ferencvarosi TC and 4 for Plzen. The scoreline contained two goals for Ferencvarosi TC and one goal for Plzen, with three goals in all.

Standout performers

K. Zachariassen was Ferencvarosi TC’s best-rated player, receiving 8.2 with 2 goals. Kristoffer Zachariassen supplied the goals that put Ferencvarosi TC ahead and then gave them breathing room, finishing with two goals and a brace.

A. Gabriel was Plzen’s best-rated player, with a rating of 7.6. Plzen’s late goal came from Denis Višinský, but the side could not draw level before the match ended.

How the model called it

Before kickoff, Goalorithm’s probabilities were estimates: the model gave Ferencvarosi TC a win probability of 55.1%, a draw probability of 22.3% and Plzen a win probability of 22.5%. Its most likely outcome was Ferencvarosi TC to win, with a probability of 55.1%.

The result matched the model’s call: the model's most likely outcome happened. Ferencvarosi TC scored the goals that established its lead, while Plzen’s late reply left the final outcome unchanged.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Europa League

Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen

Thu, Oct 15 · 3:00 PM ET · Groupama Aréna

Full time

2–1

Half-time 0–0

  • 49'Kristoffer Zachariassen1–0
  • 81'Kristoffer Zachariassen (penalty)2–0
  • 90'Denis Višinský2–1

The model before the game

Ferencvarosi TC
55.2%
Draw
22.3%
Plzen
22.5%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

Ferencvarosi TCStatisticPlzen
6saves4
12shots18
7corners3
54%possession46%
2.47expected goals1.99
6shots on target7
Open the Match Center

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