Published October 15, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Ferencvarosi TC host Plzen in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday, October 15, with kick-off at 3:00 p.m. ET at Groupama Aréna, Budapest. The model's likeliest result is a Ferencvarosi TC win, and the teams arrive with contrasting recent form after drawing their most recent meeting.
What the model expects
The probabilities are estimates. The model's outcomes, from likeliest down, are a Ferencvarosi TC win (54.9%), then a Plzen win (22.8%), then a draw (22.4%). Its expected-goals figures are Ferencvarosi TC 2.5 and Plzen 0.2; these are the model's projections of each side's scoring.
For the goals line, the model gives over 2.5 goals at 50.4% and under 2.5 goals at 49.6%. It gives both teams scoring 18.5%, while its figure for at least one side failing to score is 81.5%; that outcome does not require a goalless draw. The leading correct-score predictions are 2-0 at 19.8%, 1-0 at 16.8% and 3-0 at 16%. Those scorelines all have Ferencvarosi TC scoring more than Plzen, while the goals projections around the stated line are close.
Form and standings
Ferencvarosi TC have 4 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 games, with 10 goals scored and 2 conceded. Their sequence is WWWDW, listed most recent first, and they arrive on 3 wins in a row. Their latest result was a 3-1 away win against Celtic on September 17.
Plzen have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games, with 8 goals scored and 10 conceded. Their most recent-first sequence is LWLDD, and their latest result was a 3-0 home defeat to Union St. Gilloise on September 17. In the table, Ferencvarosi TC are 6th in UEFA Europa League with 3 points from 1 game, while Plzen are 34th in UEFA Europa League with 0 points from 1 game; Ferencvarosi TC sit above Plzen.