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Match analysis · UEFA Europa League

Research workspace

Celta Vigo 1-2 Juventus: Match Analysis & Model Review

Celta Vigo 1-2 Juventus in the UEFA Europa League, Thursday, October 15: how the goals came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 15, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Celta Vigo lost 1-2 to Juventus in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday, October 15: a 2-1 win for Juventus over Celta Vigo. Celta Vigo led at half-time, but Juventus levelled after the break and scored again in added time to take the points.

The goals came from Hugo Alvarez Antunez, Nick Woltemade and Randal Kolo Muani. Celta Vigo’s first-half advantage gave way to an equaliser, then a late winner for Juventus. The match finished with one goal for Celta Vigo, two goals for Juventus and three goals in all.

How it unfolded

Hugo Alvarez Antunez scored for Celta Vigo in the 18th minute, making it 1-0. That was also the half-time score, recorded as 1-0.

Nick Woltemade brought Juventus level in the 58th minute, making it 1-1. Randal Kolo Muani then scored for Juventus in the 90th minute (+2), setting the final score at 1-2. Both sides led at some point; the lead changed hands once; the score was levelled once.

The numbers

Juventus registered 22 shots, with 6 on target. Celta Vigo had 9 shots and 2 on target. Expected goals were 1.75 for Juventus and 1.1 for Celta Vigo; the figures put a measure on the chances created by each side.

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Week
Predictions
My Tracker

Possession stood at 53% for Juventus and 47% for Celta Vigo. The corner count was 7 for Juventus and 2 for Celta Vigo. Celta Vigo made 4 saves, while Juventus made 1. The match statistics cover attacking attempts, possession, corners and goalkeeping, alongside the goals that settled the result for Juventus.

Standout performers

N. Woltemade was Juventus’ best-rated player, receiving 8.2 with 1 goal. The goal brought Juventus level in the 58th minute, a direct contribution to the comeback.

Hugo Álvarez was Celta Vigo’s best-rated player, rated 7.5 with 1 goal. The goal put Celta Vigo ahead in the 18th minute.

How the model called it

Goalorithm’s pre-match probabilities are estimates. The model gave Celta Vigo a win probability of 24.1%, a draw probability of 29.4%, and Juventus a win probability of 46.5%. Its most likely outcome was Juventus to win, and it gave the actual result a probability of 46.5%. The model's most likely outcome happened.

The model’s most likely outcome matched the result: Juventus won after coming from behind. Its pre-match view had Juventus to win as the likeliest outcome, and Randal Kolo Muani’s late goal completed that result.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Europa League

Celta Vigo vs Juventus

Thu, Oct 15 · 3:00 PM ET · Municipal de Balaídos

Full time

1–2

Half-time 1–0

  • 18'Hugo Alvarez Antunez1–0
  • 58'Nick Woltemade1–1
  • 90'+2Randal Kolo Muani1–2

The model before the game

Celta Vigo
24.1%
Draw
29.4%
Juventus
46.5%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

Celta VigoStatisticJuventus
4saves1
9shots22
2corners7
47%possession53%
1.1expected goals1.75
2shots on target6
Open the Match Center

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