Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Called off: New York Liberty @ Atlanta Dream (cancelled); Las Vegas Aces @ Golden State Valkyries (cancelled)
The bookmakers' favourite won 21 of 37 games.
Upset: Como were the bookmakers' 45% favourites and lost 2–3.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Norwich were the bookmakers' 38% favourites and lost 0–1.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Manchester City were the bookmakers' 48% favourites and lost 2–4.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Borussia Dortmund were the bookmakers' 43% favourites and lost 0–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers had no favourite at the close.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: FC Cincinnati were the bookmakers' 51% favourites and lost 2–3.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Toronto FC were the bookmakers' 41% favourites and drew 3–3.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: CF Montreal were the bookmakers' 41% favourites and lost 0–3.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Kennesaw State Owls were the bookmakers' 56% favourites and lost 21–24.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Minnesota Timberwolves were the bookmakers' 64% favourites and lost 106–128.
Upset: the Los Angeles Dodgers were the bookmakers' 62% favourites and lost 2–6.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Chicago Fire were the bookmakers' 39% favourites and lost 1–3.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: St. Louis City were the bookmakers' 43% favourites and drew 0–0.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Colorado Rapids were the bookmakers' 52% favourites and drew 2–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Real Salt Lake were the bookmakers' 49% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: San Diego were the bookmakers' 47% favourites and drew 3–3.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: the Denver Nuggets were the bookmakers' 66% favourites and lost 110–122.
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 372, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6) · Bookmakers or data provider: too few to say (1). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 240, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 34, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).