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Match analysis · UEFA Champions League

Research workspace

Real Betis 3-2 FC Porto: Match Analysis & Model Review

Real Betis 3-2 FC Porto in the UEFA Champions League, Wednesday, October 14: how the goals came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 14, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Real Betis beat FC Porto in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday, October 14: a 3-2 win for Real Betis over FC Porto. The sides went in level at 0-0, then a second half with five goals turned the match into a contest of changing leads and repeated replies.

Abde Ezzalzouli opened the scoring after the break, but Gabri Veiga and Samuel Aghehowa put FC Porto in front. Cucho Hernández brought Real Betis level, and Isco’s penalty completed the comeback. The final score was 3-2, with five goals across the match. The sequence gave both sides a spell in front before Real Betis found the last goal.

How it unfolded

Abde Ezzalzouli scored for Real Betis in the 47th minute, making it 1-0. Gabri Veiga equalised for FC Porto in the 54th minute; Samuel Aghehowa then put FC Porto ahead in the 61st minute, making it 1-2.

Cucho Hernández restored parity in the 74th minute, with the score at 2-2. Isco converted a penalty in the 84th minute to make it 3-2. Both sides led at some point; the lead changed hands twice; the score was levelled twice. The winning goal came after the teams had already traded the advantage and levelled the score again.

The numbers

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Week
Predictions
My Tracker

Real Betis recorded 17 shots and FC Porto 11, with 7 and 5 on target respectively. Possession was 56% for Real Betis and 44% for FC Porto. The expected-goals figures were 1.68 and 0.95, offering a measure of the chances each side created.

The corner counts were 5 and 1; the saves figures were 3 and 4. These figures give context to a game that stayed open after the interval and produced goals at both ends. Real Betis finished with three goals, while FC Porto scored two goals. Both teams scored, and the lead changed hands during the match.

Standout performers

Isco was Real Betis’s best-rated player, with a rating of 7.7 and 1 goal. His penalty supplied the decisive goal after Cucho Hernández had brought the score level. FC Porto’s best-rated player was Samu, rated 7.5 with 1 goal.

The best-rated players each contributed a goal. Isco’s penalty settled the result, while Samu scored during FC Porto’s spell in front.

How the model called it

Before kickoff, Goalorithm’s model gave Real Betis a 48.1% chance of winning, a draw 26.1%, and an FC Porto win 25.8%. These probabilities are estimates. The model’s most likely outcome was Real Betis to win; the model's most likely outcome happened.

The result therefore followed the model’s pre-match call. Its probabilities also allowed for a draw or an FC Porto win, while identifying a Real Betis victory as its most likely outcome.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Champions League

Real Betis vs FC Porto

Wed, Oct 14 · 3:00 PM ET · Estadio de la Cartuja

Full time

3–2

Half-time 0–0

  • 47'Abde Ezzalzouli1–0
  • 54'Gabri Veiga1–1
  • 61'Samuel Aghehowa1–2
  • 74'Cucho Hernández2–2
  • 84'Isco (penalty)3–2

The model before the game

Real Betis
48.1%
Draw
26.1%
FC Porto
25.8%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

Real BetisStatisticFC Porto
3saves4
17shots11
5corners1
56%possession44%
1.68expected goals0.95
7shots on target5
Open the Match Center

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