Published October 14, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Colorado Rapids host Minnesota United FC in Major League Soccer on Wednesday, October 14 at 9:30 p.m. ET. Both sides arrive on winless runs, and the model's forecast points to Colorado Rapids as the likeliest winner while also leaning towards goals.
What the model expects
The probabilities are estimates. The model's likeliest result is a Colorado Rapids win, with the outcomes ordered as a Colorado Rapids win (51.9%), then a draw (24.2%), then a Minnesota United FC win (23.9%). Its expected-goals figures are Colorado Rapids 2.2 and Minnesota United FC 1.4, giving the forecast a clear scoring contribution from each side without ruling out a close result.
The model leans towards over 2.5 goals at 68.8%; its figure for under 2.5 goals at 31.2% is lower. It gives both teams a chance of scoring at 66.7%, while the chance that at least one side fails to score is 33.3%. The likeliest exact scores are 1-1 at 9.2%, 2-1 at 8.8% and 2-0 at 6.4%. The scoreline possibilities leave room for different kinds of match, but the overall goals lean is towards an open contest.
The bookmakers' outcome order is a Colorado Rapids win (53.4%), then a draw (23.9%), then a Minnesota United FC win (22.6%). The model's view is that the model gives a Colorado Rapids win 51.9%, below the bookmakers' 53.4%.
Form and standings
Colorado Rapids' recent sequence is DLDWD: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat, with 8 goals scored and 8 conceded. Their latest outing was a 1-1 home draw with San Jose Earthquakes on October 10. They are without a win in their last 3, so the recent record has not yet translated into a return to winning form.