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Match analysis · Major League Soccer

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St. Louis City 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps: Match Analysis & Model Review

St. Louis City 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps in Major League Soccer, Wednesday, October 14: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 14, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

St. Louis City and Vancouver Whitecaps finished 0-0 in Major League Soccer on Wednesday, October 14, with a 0-0 draw. The half-time score was 0-0, and the match ended without a goal at Citypark. The final score leaves the attacking figures, rather than a goal, as the clearest evidence of how the game played out.

How it unfolded

There were no goals to separate the sides, and the score remained level from half-time through to the final whistle. Neither team found a finish to change the outcome, so the match closed as it had stood at the interval.

The numbers

Vancouver Whitecaps had 65% possession and recorded 6 shots. St. Louis City had 35% possession and recorded 0 shots. The shots-on-target figures were 0 for Vancouver and 0 for St. Louis. Those figures leave the visitors with attempts in the match but no effort on target, while St. Louis did not record a shot. That is a stark account of the home side’s attacking output, without suggesting a goal threat that the numbers do not show.

The expected-goals figures were 0.45 for Vancouver and 0 for St. Louis. Vancouver’s figure records some attacking potential, but it did not become a goal or a shot on target. St. Louis ended with no expected goals, consistent with its absence of recorded attempts. The corner count was 4 for Vancouver and 0 for St. Louis. Overall, the statistical record points to Vancouver having the possession and attempts, but neither side produced a finish. The draw therefore came with a clear contrast in the teams’ attacking involvement, without a corresponding difference on the scoreboard.

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How the model called it

Before kick-off, Goalorithm’s estimates gave St. Louis City a win probability of 42.8%, a draw probability of 24.7% and a Vancouver Whitecaps win probability of 32.6%. These probabilities are estimates. The model’s most likely outcome was St. Louis City to win, and it gave the actual draw a probability of 24.7%; the result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The match ended level despite the model’s pre-match call identifying a St. Louis City win as the most likely outcome. Vancouver’s attempts and possession did not translate into a goal, and the home side’s lack of shots left the contest without a scoring moment. The final result was a draw, one of the outcomes included in the model’s forecast, but not its selected outcome.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Major League Soccer

St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Wed, Oct 14 · 8:30 PM ET · Citypark

Full time

0–0

Half-time 0–0

The model before the game

St. Louis City
42.8%
Draw
24.7%
Vancouver Whitecaps
32.6%

The result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The numbers

St. Louis CityStatisticVancouver Whitecaps
0shots6
0corners4
35%possession65%
0expected goals0.45
0shots on target0
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