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Match analysis · Major League Soccer

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Columbus Crew 3-1 Charlotte: Match Analysis & Model Review

Columbus Crew 3-1 Charlotte in Major League Soccer, Wednesday, October 14: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 14, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Columbus Crew beat Charlotte 3-1 in Major League Soccer on Wednesday, October 14, after the sides reached half-time at 1-1. The result was a 3-1 win for Columbus Crew over Charlotte, with Columbus Crew scoring three goals and Charlotte one goal.

The scoreline records a match that was level at the interval before Columbus Crew finished with the win. Columbus Crew’s attacking figures included 25 attempts and 9 shots on target; Charlotte recorded 5 attempts and 2 on target. Those numbers give a sense of the sides’ activity in front of goal, while the final score tells the outcome. The match was played at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field.

How it unfolded

The sides went into half-time at 1-1. The facts do not provide the timing or sequence of the goals, or identify their scorers, so the chronology cannot be set out beyond the interval score.

At full-time, Columbus Crew had scored three goals and Charlotte one goal, for four goals overall. Columbus Crew’s goals turned a match that was level at the interval into a win; no further detail about how the scoring unfolded is available.

The numbers

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Columbus Crew’s expected-goals figure was 2.03, while Charlotte’s was 0.52. Possession was recorded at 63% for Columbus Crew and 37% for Charlotte. The figures describe the share of the ball and the estimated quality of chances, alongside the shots and shots on target recorded in the match.

The corner counts were 8 for Columbus Crew and 4 for Charlotte. Columbus Crew made 1 save, and Charlotte made 8. These are team totals; the facts do not attribute the saves to named players. Taken together with the score and attacking figures, they provide a statistical account of a match that ended in a Columbus Crew victory.

Standout performers

Brais Méndez was Columbus Crew’s best-rated player, with a rating of 8.2 and 1 goal. K. Kahlina was Charlotte’s best-rated player, rated 8.8. The facts identify each side’s best-rated performer, but give no further individual performance details for Kahlina.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, Goalorithm’s model gave Columbus Crew a 44.1% chance of winning, assigned 24.6% to the draw and gave Charlotte a 31.3% chance. These probabilities are estimates. The model’s most likely outcome was Columbus Crew to win; it gave the actual result 44.1%, and the model's most likely outcome happened.

The forecast therefore had Columbus Crew to win as its most likely outcome, and that outcome came to pass. The match finished with the result reflected in the model’s call, while its pre-match probabilities also assigned chances to a draw and a Charlotte win.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte

Wed, Oct 14 · 7:30 PM ET · ScottsMiracle-Gro Field

Full time

3–1

Half-time 1–1

The model before the game

Columbus Crew
44.1%
Draw
24.6%
Charlotte
31.3%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

Columbus CrewStatisticCharlotte
1saves8
25shots5
8corners4
63%possession37%
2.03expected goals0.52
9shots on target2
Open the Match Center

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