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Match analysis · UEFA Champions League

Research workspace

Bodo/Glimt 1-0 Borussia Dortmund: Match Analysis & Model Review

Bodo/Glimt 1-0 Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League, Wednesday, October 14: how the goal came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 14, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Bodo/Glimt beat Borussia Dortmund 1-0 in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday, October 14, with Fredrik Sjovold's goal deciding a match that was level at the break. The result was a 1-0 win for Bodo/Glimt over Borussia Dortmund, and only Bodo/Glimt ever led.

The scoreline reflected a close contest: both teams had shots on target, but only Bodo/Glimt found the net. Fredrik Sjovold supplied the decisive moment after half-time, and Borussia Dortmund finished without a goal.

How it unfolded

The teams went into the interval at 0-0. In the 52nd minute, Fredrik Sjovold scored for Bodo/Glimt, making it 1-0. That was the only goal of the match, leaving Bodo/Glimt with one goal and Borussia Dortmund with no goals.

The numbers

Bodo/Glimt recorded 11 shots and Borussia Dortmund 9, with 3 and 4 on target. Both sides tested the opposition goalkeeper; the final scoreline, however, contained just one goal.

Possession was 48% for Bodo/Glimt and 52% for Borussia Dortmund. Expected goals came in at 1.2 for Bodo/Glimt and 0.84 for Borussia Dortmund, while the corner count was 4 to Bodo/Glimt and 10 to Borussia Dortmund. Saves were 4 for Bodo/Glimt and 2 for Borussia Dortmund.

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Week
Predictions
My Tracker

Borussia Dortmund had the ball and won corners, but those measures did not produce a goal. Bodo/Glimt registered an expected-goals figure of 1.2 and turned its scoring opportunity into the match's defining moment. Both teams put efforts on target, while only Bodo/Glimt scored.

Standout performers

F. Sjøvold was Bodo/Glimt's best-rated player, earning 8.2 and scoring 1 goal. The goal was the decisive event, making F. Sjøvold's individual contribution central to the result.

W. Anton was Borussia Dortmund's best-rated player, with a rating of 7.3. Borussia Dortmund could not turn its possession and corners into a goal.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, Goalorithm's model gave Bodo/Glimt a 29.2% chance of winning, a draw 25.4%, and a Borussia Dortmund win 45.4%. These probabilities are estimates. Its most likely outcome was Borussia Dortmund to win, while the model gave the actual result 29.2%; the result went against the model's most likely outcome.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Champions League

Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund

Wed, Oct 14 · 3:00 PM ET · Aspmyra Stadion

Full time

1–0

Half-time 0–0

  • 52'Fredrik Sjovold1–0

The model before the game

Bodo/Glimt
29.2%
Draw
25.4%
Borussia Dortmund
45.4%

The result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The numbers

Bodo/GlimtStatisticBorussia Dortmund
4saves2
11shots9
4corners10
48%possession52%
1.2expected goals0.84
3shots on target4
Open the Match Center

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