Skip to main content
GoalorithmSports intelligence
Today

Football

WeekPredictionsPlayer ProjectionsCard BuilderMy TrackerResults

Intelligence

NewsModel PerformanceData Health

Explore

StandingsMarket ScanPlayersCompetitions

Reading the numbers

What each number means, and whose it is.

Learn the numbers Explore membership

Match intelligence

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL

Football

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL
GOALORITHM / FTB

Match analysis · Major League Soccer

Research workspace

Inter Miami 2-0 New York City FC: Match Analysis & Model Review

Inter Miami 2-0 New York City FC in Major League Soccer, Wednesday, October 14: how the goals came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

← All news
Home / News / Soccer / Match analysis

Published October 14, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Inter Miami beat New York City FC 2-0 in Major League Soccer on Wednesday, October 14, with the scoring completed before the interval. Germán Berterame opened the scoring and Rodrigo De Paul added the second, putting Inter Miami in control by half-time.

The result was a 2-0 win for Inter Miami over New York City FC. Inter Miami scored two goals and New York City FC no goals, for two goals in all. The early lead became the defining feature of the match: only Inter Miami ever led, and Inter Miami held a two-goal lead at 2-0. The scoreline remained unchanged after the break.

How it unfolded

Germán Berterame scored for Inter Miami in the 20th minute, making it 1-0. Inter Miami then added a second through Rodrigo De Paul in the 45th minute (+5); the goal made it 2-0, which was also the half-time score.

Only Inter Miami ever led. Inter Miami held a two-goal lead at 2-0, and neither side changed the score after the interval. The sequence gave Inter Miami a two-goal lead before the break and left New York City FC without a goal to bring the contest back within reach.

The numbers

More soccer news

All news →

SoccerPreview· UEFA Europa League

Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan Prediction & Preview (October 15)

Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan in the UEFA Europa League, Thursday, October 15. Goalorithm's model makes AC Milan win the most likely result at 42%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Thu, Oct 15 · 12:45 PM ET

SoccerPreview· UEFA Europa League

Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Preview (October 15)

Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad in the UEFA Europa League, Thursday, October 15. Goalorithm's model makes Union St. Gilloise win the most likely result at 44%. The table, team news and the likeliest scores.

Thu, Oct 15 · 12:45 PM ET

Week
Predictions
My Tracker

Inter Miami had 59% possession to New York City FC's 41%. The shot count was 8 to 6, while shots on target stood at 3 and 2 respectively. Expected goals were 1.21 for Inter Miami and 0.23 for New York City FC, a measure that also shows the sides created different levels of scoring threat.

Corners went 1 to Inter Miami and 2 to New York City FC. The save totals were 2 for Inter Miami and 1 for New York City FC. Those figures give a more detailed picture than possession alone: Inter Miami had the greater share of the ball and more attempts on target, while the expected-goals figures point to a marked gap in the quality of chances. New York City FC did register efforts and corners.

Standout performers

R. De Paul was Inter Miami's best-rated player, earning 8.2 and scoring 1 goal. His goal came in the 45th minute (+5), making him central to the decisive spell before half-time. New York City FC's highest-rated player was N. Fernández Mercau, with a rating of 7.1.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, Goalorithm's model gave Inter Miami a win probability of 58.2%, a draw 20.9% and a New York City FC win 20.9%. These probabilities are estimates. Its most likely outcome was Inter Miami to win, with that outcome assigned 58.2%. The model's most likely outcome happened.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Major League Soccer

Inter Miami vs New York City FC

Wed, Oct 14 · 7:30 PM ET · Nu Stadium

Full time

2–0

Half-time 2–0

  • 20'Germán Berterame1–0
  • 45'+5Rodrigo De Paul2–0

The model before the game

Inter Miami
58.2%
Draw
20.9%
New York City FC
20.9%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

Inter MiamiStatisticNew York City FC
2saves1
8shots6
1corners2
59%possession41%
1.21expected goals0.23
3shots on target2
Open the Match Center

SoccerPreview· UEFA Europa League

Lyon vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Preview (October 15)

Lyon vs Crystal Palace in the UEFA Europa League, Thursday, October 15. Goalorithm's model makes Lyon win the most likely result at 41%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Thu, Oct 15 · 12:45 PM ET

SoccerPreview· UEFA Europa League

Celje vs Omonia Nicosia Prediction & Preview (October 15)

Celje vs Omonia Nicosia in the UEFA Europa League, Thursday, October 15. Goalorithm's model makes Omonia Nicosia win the most likely result at 40%. Form, the table, team news and the likeliest scores.

Thu, Oct 15 · 12:45 PM ET