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Match analysis · UEFA Champions League

Research workspace

Slovan Bratislava 0-3 VfB Stuttgart: Match Analysis & Model Review

Slovan Bratislava 0-3 VfB Stuttgart in the UEFA Champions League, Wednesday, October 14: how the goals came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 14, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

VfB Stuttgart beat Slovan Bratislava in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday, October 14, with a 3-0 win for VfB Stuttgart over Slovan Bratislava. Deniz Undav opened the scoring, Sandro Cruz scored an own goal, and Ermedin Demirović added the final goal. Slovan Bratislava finished with no goals, VfB Stuttgart with three goals, and only VfB Stuttgart ever led.

How it unfolded

The teams reached half-time at 0-1, after Deniz Undav scored for VfB Stuttgart in the 29th minute to make it 0-1. The second goal came in the 64th minute: Sandro Cruz scored an own goal for VfB Stuttgart, making it 0-2. Ermedin Demirović scored for VfB Stuttgart in the 90th minute, setting the final score at 0-3; VfB Stuttgart held a three-goal lead at 0-3.

The numbers

The shot totals were 15 for Slovan Bratislava and 16 for VfB Stuttgart; the on-target totals were 1 and 8, respectively. Expected goals were 0.76 for Slovan Bratislava and 1.9 for VfB Stuttgart. Together, those measures describe a match in which the teams recorded different levels of shot accuracy and expected scoring threat, while the final score captures the goals that actually went in.

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Week
Predictions
My Tracker

Possession was 36% for Slovan Bratislava and 64% for VfB Stuttgart. The corner totals were 1 for Slovan Bratislava and 8 for VfB Stuttgart; saves were 6 for Slovan Bratislava and 1 for VfB Stuttgart. The figures give a statistical account of possession, attempts, corners and saves alongside the goals, without changing the decisive fact of the match: VfB Stuttgart won without conceding. There were three goals in all.

Standout performers

D. Takáč was Slovan Bratislava’s best-rated player, with a rating of 6.7. D. Undav was VfB Stuttgart’s best-rated player, rated 8.2 with 1 goal. D. Undav also scored the opening goal, giving the match its first breakthrough and putting VfB Stuttgart in front before the interval.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, the model gave Slovan Bratislava an 11.9% chance of winning, the draw 17.1%, and VfB Stuttgart a 70.9% chance. These probabilities are estimates. The model’s most likely outcome was VfB Stuttgart to win; it gave the actual result 70.9%, and the model's most likely outcome happened. The match therefore finished in line with the model’s stated pre-match call.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Champions League

Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart

Wed, Oct 14 · 3:00 PM ET · Tehelne Pole Stadion

Full time

0–3

Half-time 0–1

  • 29'Deniz Undav0–1
  • 64'Sandro Cruz (own goal)0–2
  • 90'Ermedin Demirović0–3

The model before the game

Slovan Bratislava
11.9%
Draw
17.1%
VfB Stuttgart
70.9%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

Slovan BratislavaStatisticVfB Stuttgart
6saves1
15shots16
1corners8
36%possession64%
0.76expected goals1.9
1shots on target8
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