Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Called off: Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees (cancelled)
The bookmakers' favourite won 13 of 21 games.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: New Caledonia were the bookmakers' 38% favourites and lost 1–4.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers had no favourite at the close.
Upset: Lithuania were the bookmakers' 43% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Andorra were the bookmakers' 39% favourites and drew 0–0.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Jordan were the bookmakers' 61% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: wrong
Our model's call: wrong
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: wrong
Our model's call: wrong
Our model's call: wrong
Upset: Germany were the bookmakers' 66% favourites and lost 0–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Norway were the bookmakers' 41% favourites and lost 1–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: wrong
Our model's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Inter Miami were the bookmakers' 41% favourites and lost 1–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Our model's call: right
Upset: Trinidad and Tobago were the bookmakers' 38% favourites and lost 1–2.
Our blend's call: right
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 369, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 67% of 242, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 53% of 30, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (17).