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GOALORITHM / NFL

Game analysis · NFL

Research workspace

Minnesota Vikings 23-16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 23-16 win for the Minnesota Vikings over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL, Sunday, September 27: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 27, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The Minnesota Vikings beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-16 in the NFL on Sunday, September 27. Minnesota Vikings’ punt return touchdown by Myles Price and Jordan Addison’s receiving touchdown supplied scoring plays in a win by seven points.

The numbers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers finished with 243 total yards, including 186 passing and 57 rushing; Minnesota Vikings had 230, with 152 passing and 78 rushing. Tampa Bay Buccaneers recorded 11 first downs to Minnesota Vikings’ 9, and possessed the ball for 30:57 against 29:03.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers converted 11.8% of third downs, while Minnesota Vikings converted 13.3%. Tampa Bay Buccaneers had 2 turnovers and Minnesota Vikings had 1.

Top performers

For Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Baker Mayfield completed 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, with a touchdown and an interception, while Bucky Irving ran for 46 yards on 15 carries. Emeka Egbuka caught 5 passes for 62 yards; A'Shawn Robinson had an interception, and Chase McLaughlin made 3 of 3 field goals.

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American footballPreview· college football

New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers Prediction & Preview

New Mexico State Aggies at Florida International Panthers in college football, Wednesday, October 7. Goalorithm's model makes a Florida International Panthers win the likelier result at 78%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Wed, Oct 7 · 7:30 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

Missouri State Bears vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction & Preview

Missouri State Bears at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in college football, Thursday, October 8. Goalorithm's model makes a Missouri State Bears win the likelier result at 65.2%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Predictions
Games
Standings

For Minnesota Vikings, Kyler Murray completed 15 of 29 passes for 168 yards, with a touchdown and an interception, and Aaron Jones Sr. ran for 58 yards on 17 carries. Jordan Addison caught 5 passes for 90 yards, with a touchdown; Andrew Van Ginkel had 0.5 sacks and an interception, and Will Reichard made 3 of 3 field goals. Myles Price returned a punt for a touchdown for Minnesota Vikings.

How the model called it

The model’s pregame chances gave Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12.6% and Minnesota Vikings 87.4%. These were estimates, not certainties. Its favorite was the Minnesota Vikings to win; the model's favorite won. The model had the Minnesota Vikings by 11.4 points, and they won by seven points, less than projected.

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Minnesota Vikings

Sun, Sep 27 · 4:05 PM ET

Final

16–23

The model before the game

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
12.6%
Minnesota Vikings
87.4%

The model's favourite won.

The numbers

Tampa Bay BuccaneersStatisticMinnesota Vikings
2turnovers1
11first downs9
243total yards230
57rushing yards78
186net passing yards152
30:57time of possession29:03
11.8%third-down conversion rate13.3%
Open the Game Center

Thu, Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

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Thu, Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

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