Published October 1, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The South Florida Bulls visit the UTSA Roadrunners in college football on Thursday, October 8, with kickoff at 7:30 p.m. ET. The model's likelier result is a South Florida Bulls win; the UTSA Roadrunners beat the Colorado State Rams in their latest game, while the South Florida Bulls beat the Bowling Green Falcons.
What the model expects
The model gives the UTSA Roadrunners 26.2% and the South Florida Bulls 73.8%. These are estimates, not certainties.
The model projects 23 points for the UTSA Roadrunners and 31.2 for the South Florida Bulls, with 54.2 in all. Its projected margin is the South Florida Bulls by 8.2 points.
Records and recent results
The South Florida Bulls have the better record. The UTSA Roadrunners are 3-1 overall this season, with 141 points scored and 117 allowed in 4 games. The South Florida Bulls are 4-0, with 120 points scored and 56 allowed in 4 games.
The UTSA Roadrunners beat the Colorado State Rams 59-45 at home on September 26, and before that lost 30-6 on the road to the Texas Longhorns on September 19. The South Florida Bulls beat the Bowling Green Falcons 14-6 on the road on September 26, and before that beat the Delaware State Hornets 59-17 at home on September 19.