Published October 1, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Sam Houston Bearkats visit the Liberty Flames in college football on Thursday, October 8, with kickoff set for 7:00 p.m. ET. The model gives the Liberty Flames the likelier result, while the teams enter the game with different season records and recent results.
What the model expects
The model's likelier result is a Liberty Flames win, with the model giving the Liberty Flames 78.7% and the Sam Houston Bearkats 21.3%. Those probabilities are estimates, not certainties.
The model projects Liberty Flames 30.4 points and Sam Houston Bearkats 20, for 50.4 in all. Its projected margin is the Liberty Flames by 10.4 points.
Records and recent results
The Liberty Flames are 3-1 overall this season, with 122 points scored and 75 allowed in 4 games. The Sam Houston Bearkats are 1-3, with 111 points scored and 96 allowed in 4 games; the Liberty Flames have the better record.
The Liberty Flames' latest results: the Liberty Flames beat the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 34-17 on the road on September 24, and before that beat the Ball State Cardinals 51-15 at home on September 19. The Sam Houston Bearkats' latest results: the Sam Houston Bearkats lost 49-14 on the road to the Texas Tech Red Raiders on September 26, and before that beat the Nicholls Colonels 59-0 at home on September 19.