Published September 27, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16–23 Minnesota Vikings. Read the game analysis →
Preview
The Minnesota Vikings visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL on Sunday, September 27, with kickoff at 4:05 p.m. ET. The model makes Minnesota the likelier winner, while Tampa Bay arrives after a narrow home loss and Minnesota after a road win.
The model’s figures are estimates, not certainties. Its outlook points to a sizable projected margin for the Vikings, with the Buccaneers needing to outperform the model’s expected scoring output.
What the model expects
The model gives the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12.6% to win and the Minnesota Vikings 87.4%. The model’s likelier result is a Minnesota Vikings win.
The projected score is Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16.2, Minnesota Vikings 27.6, with 43.8 points in all. The projected margin is the Minnesota Vikings by 11.4 points.
Records and recent results
The Minnesota Vikings have the better record. The Buccaneers are 0-2 overall this season, with 46 points scored and 56 allowed in 2 games, and the Vikings are 2-0, with 48 points scored and 25 allowed in 2 games. Both teams play in the NFC.