Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Called off: Philadelphia Eagles @ Toledo Rockets (cancelled); Dallas Cowboys @ Kentucky Wildcats (cancelled); Seattle Seahawks @ Maryland Terrapins (cancelled); Vanderbilt Commodores @ Buffalo Bills (cancelled); Oregon Ducks @ Jacksonville Jaguars (cancelled); Kansas City Chiefs @ Washington State Cougars (cancelled); Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ Detroit Lions (cancelled); Massachusetts Minutemen @ Minnesota Vikings (cancelled); Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Los Angeles Chargers (cancelled)
The bookmakers' favourite won 19 of 32 games.
Upset: Slovenia were the bookmakers' 36% favourites and drew 0–0.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Kenya were the bookmakers' 68% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Faroe Islands were the bookmakers' 42% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Iceland were the bookmakers' 74% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Bulgaria were the bookmakers' 40% favourites and lost 1–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
Our model's call: wrong
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: wrong
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: wrong
Our model's call: wrong
Our model's call: wrong
Our model's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Our model's call: wrong
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: wrong
Our model's call: right
Upset: Saint Martin were the bookmakers' 84% favourites and lost 0–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: French Guyana were the bookmakers' 37% favourites and lost 1–2.
Our blend's call: right
Our model's call: wrong
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Our model's call: wrong
Our model's call: wrong
Our model's call: wrong
Our model's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Atlanta United FC were the bookmakers' 37% favourites and drew 2–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: FC Cincinnati were the bookmakers' 41% favourites and lost 1–3.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Charlotte were the bookmakers' 43% favourites and lost 0–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers had no favourite at the close.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Houston Dynamo were the bookmakers' 59% favourites and lost 0–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Colombia were the bookmakers' 36% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
Our model's call: right
Our model's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Our model's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Vancouver Whitecaps were the bookmakers' 76% favourites and drew 3–3.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Our model's call: wrong
Our model's call: right
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 368, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 243, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 53% of 30, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (17).