Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Called off: Navy Midshipmen @ Cleveland Browns (cancelled); Clemson Tigers @ San Francisco 49ers (cancelled)
The bookmakers' favourite won 17 of 30 games.
Upset: Brazil were the bookmakers' 76% favourites and drew 1–1.
Upset: Tanzania were the bookmakers' 42% favourites and lost 0–2.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Senegal were the bookmakers' 71% favourites and drew 1–1.
Upset: Panama were the bookmakers' 71% favourites and drew 1–1.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Georgia were the bookmakers' 53% favourites and lost 0–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Italy were the bookmakers' 44% favourites and lost 0–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Hungary were the bookmakers' 39% favourites and lost 0–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Poland were the bookmakers' 60% favourites and drew 0–0.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Bermuda were the bookmakers' 42% favourites and lost 1–2.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Burkina Faso were the bookmakers' 61% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Egypt were the bookmakers' 68% favourites and drew 0–0.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: St. Lucia were the bookmakers' 44% favourites and lost 0–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Honduras were the bookmakers' 56% favourites and lost 2–3.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 368, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 243, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 53% of 30, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (17).