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GOALORITHM / NFL

Game analysis · NFL

Research workspace

San Francisco 49ers 36-30 Arizona Cardinals: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 36-30 win for the San Francisco 49ers over the Arizona Cardinals in the NFL, Sunday, September 27: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 27, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The San Francisco 49ers beat the Arizona Cardinals 36-30 in the NFL on Sunday, September 27. The 49ers put up 437 total yards, including 140 rushing yards, and won by six points.

Arizona finished with 365 total yards and 27 first downs, but the Cardinals’ effort ended in a loss.

The numbers

The 49ers totaled 437 yards: 297 through the air and 140 on the ground. Arizona had 365 yards, with 272 passing and 93 rushing.

San Francisco had 1 turnover and converted 62.5% of its third downs. The Cardinals had 0 turnovers and converted 50%.

The 49ers recorded 23 first downs and held possession for 21:16. Arizona had 27 first downs and possessed the ball for 38:44.

Top performers

Brock Purdy completed 15 of 27 passes for 297 yards, with 4 touchdowns for the 49ers. Christian McCaffrey ran for 75 yards on 15 carries, with a touchdown, while George Kittle caught 6 passes for 82 yards, with 2 touchdowns. San Francisco’s Keion White had a sack, and Eddy Pineiro made 1 of 1 field goals.

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New Mexico State Aggies at Florida International Panthers in college football, Wednesday, October 7. Goalorithm's model makes a Florida International Panthers win the likelier result at 78%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

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Missouri State Bears at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in college football, Thursday, October 8. Goalorithm's model makes a Missouri State Bears win the likelier result at 65.2%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

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For Arizona, Jacoby Brissett completed 38 of 52 passes for 280 yards, with 2 touchdowns. Jeremiyah Love ran for 90 yards on 21 carries, and Michael Wilson caught 11 passes for 89 yards, with a touchdown. Chad Ryland made 3 of 3 field goals for the Cardinals.

How the model called it

Before the game, the model gave the 49ers 88% to win and the Cardinals 12%. Those figures are estimates, not certainties.

The model’s favorite was the San Francisco 49ers to win, and the model's favorite won. The model had the San Francisco 49ers by 11.8 points, and they won by six points, less than projected

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

NFL

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Sun, Sep 27 · 4:05 PM ET

Final

36–30

The model before the game

San Francisco 49ers
88%
Arizona Cardinals
12%

The model's favourite won.

The numbers

San Francisco 49ersStatisticArizona Cardinals
1turnovers0
23first downs27
437total yards365
140rushing yards93
297net passing yards272
21:16time of possession38:44
62.5%third-down conversion rate50%
Open the Game Center

Thu, Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET

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