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GOALORITHM / FTB

Match analysis · Friendlies

Research workspace

Jordan 1-1 Syria: Match Analysis & Model Review

Jordan 1-1 Syria in a friendly, Sunday, September 27: how the goals came and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 27, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Jordan and Syria finished level in a friendly on Sunday, September 27, with A. Olwan putting Jordan in front before Syria replied after the interval. The match ended as a 1-1 draw, after Jordan had held the advantage at the break. It was a match in which only Jordan ever led; the score was levelled once, with the sides ending on equal terms.

The game was played at King Abdullah II Stadium. Jordan's opener came before half-time, but Syria restored parity soon after the restart and neither side added another goal. The final scoreline reflects that exchange: Jordan's lead lasted from Olwan's finish until Syria's equaliser.

How it unfolded

A. Olwan opened the scoring for Jordan in the 38th minute, making it 1-0. Jordan reached the interval ahead, with the half-time score at 1-0.

Syria drew level in the 52nd minute, when the score became 1-1. The equaliser left the teams level, and there was no further change to the score. The sequence followed the pattern described by only Jordan ever led; the score was levelled once: Jordan took the lead, and Syria brought the match back level.

The numbers

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Matches
Predictions
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Jordan scored one goal, Syria scored one goal, and the match contained two goals in all. Those totals capture the central change in the game: Jordan's goal gave them the advantage, and Syria's response ensured the points were shared. The score remained level after the equaliser.

Before kick-off, Goalorithm's probabilities were estimates. The model gave Jordan a 59.1% chance of winning, put the draw at 18.1%, and assigned Syria a 22.8% chance of victory. Those figures set out the model's view of the possible outcomes before the match; the actual game finished level after the two sides scored once each.

How the model called it

The model's most likely outcome was Jordan to win. It gave the actual result an 18.1% chance, and the result went against the model's most likely outcome. Jordan did take the lead, but Syria's equaliser changed the result category from the model's expected win to a draw.

The final score 1-1 was the model's 2nd-likeliest score. The outcome assessment and score ranking describe separate parts of the forecast: one concerns the result category, the other the exact score. Jordan's early advantage was not enough to deliver the model's most likely outcome, while the final scoreline matched the model's second-ranked score prediction.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Friendlies

Jordan vs Syria

Sun, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM ET · King Abdullah II Stadium

Full time

1–1

Half-time 1–0

  • 38'A. Olwan1–0
  • 52'Syria1–1

The model before the game

Jordan
59.1%
Draw
18.1%
Syria
22.8%

The result went against the model's most likely outcome.

Open the Match Center

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