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GOALORITHM / NFL

Game analysis · NFL

Research workspace

Baltimore Ravens 34-31 Dallas Cowboys: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 34-31 win for the Baltimore Ravens over the Dallas Cowboys in the NFL, Sunday, September 27: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 27, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The Baltimore Ravens beat the Dallas Cowboys 34-31 in the NFL on Sunday, September 27. The Baltimore Ravens finished with 192 rushing yards and no turnovers in a game decided by three points. The Dallas Cowboys had 267 net passing yards and 415 total yards, but the Baltimore Ravens came away with the win.

The numbers

The Dallas Cowboys totaled 415 yards: 267 through the air and 148 on the ground. The Baltimore Ravens totaled 378 yards, with 186 net passing yards and 192 rushing yards. The Dallas Cowboys committed 1 turnover; the Baltimore Ravens committed 0.

The Dallas Cowboys earned 27 first downs and held the ball for 30:38. The Baltimore Ravens had 23 first downs and possession for 29:22. The Dallas Cowboys converted 38.5% of third downs, while the Baltimore Ravens converted 33.3%.

Top performers

For the Dallas Cowboys, Dak Prescott completed 25 of 40 passes for 276 yards, with a touchdown. Javonte Williams ran for 98 yards on 19 carries, with a touchdown, and CeeDee Lamb caught 7 passes for 112 yards. Kicker Brandon Aubrey made 3 of 4 field goals.

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New Mexico State Aggies at Florida International Panthers in college football, Wednesday, October 7. Goalorithm's model makes a Florida International Panthers win the likelier result at 78%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

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For the Baltimore Ravens, Lamar Jackson completed 15 of 20 passes for 186 yards, with 2 touchdowns. Derrick Henry ran for 89 yards on 26 carries, with 2 touchdowns, and Zay Flowers caught 5 passes for 84 yards. Defender Roquan Smith had a sack, and kicker Tyler Loop made 2 of 2 field goals.

How the model called it

The model's chances were estimates. Before the game, it gave the Dallas Cowboys 52.4% to win and the Baltimore Ravens 47.6%. Its favorite was the Dallas Cowboys to win; the result went against the model's favorite.

The model had the Dallas Cowboys by 0.7 points, but the Baltimore Ravens won by three points.

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

NFL

Dallas Cowboys vs Baltimore Ravens

Sun, Sep 27 · 4:25 PM ET

Final

31–34

The model before the game

Dallas Cowboys
52.4%
Baltimore Ravens
47.6%

The result went against the model's favourite.

The numbers

Dallas CowboysStatisticBaltimore Ravens
1turnovers0
27first downs23
415total yards378
148rushing yards192
267net passing yards186
30:38time of possession29:22
38.5%third-down conversion rate33.3%
Open the Game Center

Thu, Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET

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Sam Houston Bearkats at Liberty Flames in college football, Thursday, October 8. Goalorithm's model makes a Liberty Flames win the likelier result at 78.7%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Thu, Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

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