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Match analysis · CONCACAF Nations League

Research workspace

Curaçao 6-1 Nicaragua: Match Analysis & Model Review

Curaçao 6-1 Nicaragua in the CONCACAF Nations League, Sunday, September 27: how the goals came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 28, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Curaçao beat Nicaragua in the CONCACAF Nations League on Sunday, September 27, with a 6-1 win for Curaçao over Nicaragua. The score was 5-0 at the break, after Curaçao had reached 5-0 before half-time; the final margin was a five-goal lead before Nicaragua found a goal and Curaçao added another late on. The final score was 6-1.

Curaçao scored six goals, Nicaragua scored one goal, and the match produced seven goals. The scoring sequence and the half-time score show that much of the scoring came before the interval, though Nicaragua did get on the scoresheet after the break. Curaçao had established a substantial lead by half-time, and the late goal completed the scoring.

How it unfolded

Livano Comenencia opened the scoring for Curaçao in the 6th minute, making it 1-0. Kenji Gorre extended the lead in the 11th minute with the score at 2-0, and Leandro Bacuna made it 3-0 in the 19th minute. Juninho Bacuna then scored in the 27th minute to make it 4-0.

Kenji Gorre struck again in the 39th minute, giving Curaçao a five-goal lead at 5-0 before the interval. Jaime Moreno scored Nicaragua's goal in the 62nd minute, changing the score to 5-1. Jürgen Locadia completed the scoring in the 88th minute, making it 6-1. Only Curaçao ever led.

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The numbers

Possession was 69% for Curaçao and 31% for Nicaragua. The shot count was 3 to 0, while shots on target stood at 1 to 0. Those figures sit alongside a match with seven goals: the recorded shot totals and the goal count are striking features of the contest. The scoreline, meanwhile, records a clear result for Curaçao.

Curaçao held a five-goal lead at 5-0, its biggest lead of the match. Nicaragua's goal came after the break, and Curaçao scored again late on. Kenji Gorre scored two goals, making it a brace; those goals formed part of Curaçao's total of six goals.

Standout performers

K. Gorré was Curaçao's best-rated player, with a rating of 9.6 and 2 goals. The performance included two goals from Kenji Gorre, who registered a brace in the win. For Nicaragua, J. Moreno was the best-rated player, receiving 7.0 with 1 goal. J. Moreno's goal was Nicaragua's contribution to the scoring, while Curaçao finished with six goals.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, Goalorithm's model estimated a Curaçao win at 49.4%, a draw at 25.6% and a Nicaragua win at 25.1%. These probabilities are estimates. It identified Curaçao to win as the most likely outcome and assigned the eventual result 49.4%. The model's most likely outcome happened. The model's view therefore pointed to Curaçao, and the match finished with a 6-1 win for Curaçao over Nicaragua.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

CONCACAF Nations League

Curaçao vs Nicaragua

Sun, Sep 27 · 8:00 PM ET · Ergilio Hato Stadium

Full time

6–1

Half-time 5–0

  • 6'Livano Comenencia1–0
  • 11'Kenji Gorre2–0
  • 19'Leandro Bacuna3–0
  • 27'Juninho Bacuna4–0
  • 39'Kenji Gorre5–0
  • 62'Jaime Moreno5–1
  • 88'Jürgen Locadia6–1

The model before the game

Curaçao
49.4%
Draw
25.6%
Nicaragua
25.1%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

CuraçaoStatisticNicaragua
3shots0
69%possession31%
1shots on target0
Open the Match Center

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