Internal use only
Skip to main content
GoalorithmSports intelligence
All Sports

NFL

GamesPredictionsParlay BuilderMy PicksBetting JournalResults

Intelligence

NewsModel PerformanceData Health

Explore

StandingsValue Scan

Build your edge

Understand every number behind the call.

Learn the numbers Explore membership

Gridiron intelligence

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL

NFL

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL
GOALORITHM / NFL

Game analysis · NFL

Research workspace

Denver Broncos 30-26 Los Angeles Rams: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 30-26 win for the Denver Broncos over the Los Angeles Rams in the NFL, Sunday, September 27: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

← All news
Home / News / NFL & college / Game analysis

Published September 28, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The Denver Broncos beat the Los Angeles Rams 30-26 in the NFL on Sunday, September 27. Talanoa Hufanga returned an interception for a touchdown for the Denver Broncos, and the Denver Broncos finished with 1 turnover against 2 for the Los Angeles Rams.

The Denver Broncos won by four points. The Los Angeles Rams recorded 482 total yards, while the Denver Broncos had 257.

The numbers

The Denver Broncos had 179 net passing yards and 78 rushing yards. The Los Angeles Rams had 366 net passing yards and 116 rushing yards.

The Denver Broncos converted 53.8% of third downs and made 20 first downs; the Los Angeles Rams converted 47.1% and made 26. Possession time was 25:31 for the Denver Broncos and 34:29 for the Los Angeles Rams.

Top performers

Bo Nix completed 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, with 2 touchdowns and an interception for the Denver Broncos. J.K. Dobbins ran for 49 yards on 17 carries, and Courtland Sutton caught 3 passes for 46 yards for the Denver Broncos. Talanoa Hufanga had a sack and 2 interceptions for the Denver Broncos, including the touchdown return. Wil Lutz made 0 of 1 field goals for the Denver Broncos.

More NFL & college football news

All news →

American footballPreview· college football

New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers Prediction & Preview

New Mexico State Aggies at Florida International Panthers in college football, Wednesday, October 7. Goalorithm's model makes a Florida International Panthers win the likelier result at 78%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Wed, Oct 7 · 7:30 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

Missouri State Bears vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction & Preview

Missouri State Bears at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in college football, Thursday, October 8. Goalorithm's model makes a Missouri State Bears win the likelier result at 65.2%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Predictions
Games
Standings

Matthew Stafford completed 30 of 55 passes for 390 yards, with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions for the Los Angeles Rams. Kyren Williams ran for 88 yards on 15 carries, while Davante Adams caught 7 passes for 137 yards for the Los Angeles Rams. Josh Wallace had an interception for the Los Angeles Rams, and Harrison Mevis made 4 of 4 field goals for the Los Angeles Rams.

How the model called it

Goalorithm's pregame probabilities were estimates, not certainties. The model gave the Denver Broncos 29.1% to win and the Los Angeles Rams 70.9%.

The model's favorite was the Los Angeles Rams to win, but the result went against the model's favorite. It gave the Denver Broncos 29.1%. The model had the Los Angeles Rams by 5.5 points, but the Denver Broncos won by four points.

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

NFL

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Rams

Sun, Sep 27 · 8:20 PM ET

Final

30–26

The model before the game

Denver Broncos
29.1%
Los Angeles Rams
70.9%

The result went against the model's favourite.

The numbers

Denver BroncosStatisticLos Angeles Rams
1turnovers2
20first downs26
257total yards482
78rushing yards116
179net passing yards366
25:31time of possession34:29
53.8%third-down conversion rate47.1%
Open the Game Center

Thu, Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Liberty Flames Prediction & Preview

Sam Houston Bearkats at Liberty Flames in college football, Thursday, October 8. Goalorithm's model makes a Liberty Flames win the likelier result at 78.7%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Thu, Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners Prediction & Preview

South Florida Bulls at UTSA Roadrunners in college football, Thursday, October 8. Goalorithm's model makes a South Florida Bulls win the likelier result at 73.8%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Thu, Oct 8 · 7:30 PM ET