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Match analysis · CONCACAF Nations League

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Dominica 0-2 Puerto Rico: Match Analysis & Model Review

Dominica 0-2 Puerto Rico in the CONCACAF Nations League, Sunday, September 27: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 27, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Puerto Rico beat Dominica in the CONCACAF Nations League on Sunday, September 27, with a 2-0 win for Puerto Rico over Dominica. The score was 0-2 at half-time and remained 0-2 at the end, leaving Puerto Rico with the points and Dominica without a goal. The result was settled by the interval, with no further change to the score recorded after the break.

The match took place at Windsor Park. The final score gives the clearest account of the outcome: Puerto Rico finished with the win, while Dominica’s total was no goals.

How it unfolded

Puerto Rico had already scored two goals by half-time, when the score stood at 0-2. Dominica’s return was no goals, and the match ended with two goals in all. The available match facts establish the half-time score and final outcome, but do not specify the timing of individual goals.

The numbers

Puerto Rico’s possession was 69%; Dominica’s was 31%. The shot count was 2 for Puerto Rico and 1 for Dominica, with 1 and 0 on target respectively. Those figures describe a match with limited recorded attempts.

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The corner count was 1 for Puerto Rico and 1 for Dominica. Puerto Rico’s possession figure points to a substantial share of the ball, but the shot and target totals show how little the match produced in recorded attempts. The decisive detail was the conversion reflected in the score: Puerto Rico scored, while Dominica did not.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, Goalorithm’s model gave Dominica a win probability of 22%, the draw 25.8%, and Puerto Rico a win probability of 52.3%. These probabilities are estimates. The model’s most likely outcome was Puerto Rico to win, and it assigned the actual result 52.3%; the model's most likely outcome happened.

The match therefore finished in line with the model’s stated most likely outcome. Its pre-match view favoured a Puerto Rico win, and the final score was 0-2. The figures offer a straightforward account of the call: the predicted outcome arrived, with Puerto Rico scoring the goals that decided the match before half-time.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

CONCACAF Nations League

Dominica vs Puerto Rico

Sun, Sep 27 · 8:00 PM ET · Windsor Park

Full time

0–2

Half-time 0–2

The model before the game

Dominica
22%
Draw
25.8%
Puerto Rico
52.3%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

DominicaStatisticPuerto Rico
1shots2
1corners1
31%possession69%
0shots on target1
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