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GOALORITHM / FTB

Match analysis · Friendlies

Research workspace

Bolivia 0-2 Paraguay: Match Analysis & Model Review

Bolivia 0-2 Paraguay in a friendly, Sunday, September 27: how the goals came and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published September 27, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Paraguay beat Bolivia in a friendly on Sunday, September 27, with a 2-0 win for Paraguay over Bolivia and a final score of 0-2. {M. Almiron} scored both goals, and only Paraguay ever led, turning an early advantage into a result that reflected the model’s pre-match call.

The match was played at Audi Field, and the half-time score was 0-1. Paraguay had the lead at the interval and extended it after the break; Bolivia finished without a goal. The final margin followed the shape of the scoring: Paraguay made the breakthrough, then added to it, while Bolivia did not get on the scoresheet.

How it unfolded

{M. Almiron} opened the scoring for Paraguay in the 17th minute, making it 0-1. That goal put Paraguay in front, and the advantage remained in place through half-time, when the score stood at 0-1.

The same scorer struck again in the 50th minute, making it 0-2. The second goal confirmed Paraguay’s largest advantage of the match, with Paraguay holding a two-goal lead at 0-2. With no reply from Bolivia, that was the final scoring contribution. The sequence was direct: an opening goal before the interval, followed by another after it, with Paraguay the only side to lead at any stage.

The numbers

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Matches
Predictions
My Picks

Bolivia recorded no goals, while Paraguay scored two goals; the match contained two goals in all. Those figures describe a clean division of the scoring, with every goal belonging to Paraguay. The match’s scoring record also captures the decisive contribution from {M. Almiron}: both of Paraguay’s goals came from the same player, and the second established the winning margin. There was no late change to the scoreline, so the early advantage and the post-interval goal remained the key events in the result.

Standout performers

{M. Almiron} was the clear individual standout, scoring two goals and completing a brace. His first goal gave Paraguay the lead; his second widened it and settled the scoring. The two finishes were the match’s defining contributions, and no other scorer is recorded in the result.

How the model called it

The pre-match probabilities are estimates. The model gave Bolivia a win at 22.1%, a draw at 28.5% and Paraguay a win at 49.4%. Its most likely outcome was Paraguay to win, assigning that result 49.4%; the model's most likely outcome happened. The model’s call and the final result therefore aligned, with the outcome it had identified as most likely arriving on the pitch.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Friendlies

Bolivia vs Paraguay

Sun, Sep 27 · 4:30 PM ET · Audi Field

Full time

0–2

Half-time 0–1

  • 17'M. Almiron0–1
  • 50'M. Almiron0–2

The model before the game

Bolivia
22.1%
Draw
28.5%
Paraguay
49.4%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

Open the Match Center

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